Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCeara to win ✓48% · @1.61
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.78
Ceara vs Primavera SP: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Primavera SP travel to face Ceara on Friday 27 February in the Copa Do Brasil, with Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ceara 1.4 xG, Primavera SP 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ceara 48%, draw 25%, Primavera SP 28%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ceara 1–1 Primavera SP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ceara48%fair 2.10 · @1.61
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.45
Primavera SP28%fair 3.59 · @5.60
2.72Expected goals
1.39Ceara xG
1.32Primavera SP xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ceara 1.4 – 1.3 Primavera SP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ceara to win✓
48%
2.10
1.61
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Ceara (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Primavera SP +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Ceara to score first✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ceara / FT Ceara✓
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
11.78
–
Recent results
Ceara – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Floresta
4–0
W
15 Feb
@ Floresta
3–0
W
3.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Primavera SP – last 2
WD
18 Feb
@ Araguaína
3–0
W
16 Feb
vs Noroeste
3–3
D
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ceara and Primavera SP.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Ceara vs Primavera SP?
On our numbers Ceara have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Primavera SP 28%.
How many goals will there be in Ceara vs Primavera SP?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ceara vs Primavera SP?
Our predicted score is Ceara 1–1 Primavera SP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ceara vs Primavera SP?
Ceara vs Primavera SP (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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