AS Marsa 33%Draw 29%Stade Tunisien 38%Expected goals 0.99 – 1.01
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultStade Tunisien to win ✓38% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.61
AS Marsa vs Stade Tunisien: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Stade Tunisien travel to face AS Marsa on Saturday 28 February in the Ligue 1 – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, AS Marsa are 11th, lower half, on 6 points after 6 matches; Stade Tunisien are 3rd (among the top four) with 13.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AS Marsa 1.0 xG, Stade Tunisien 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AS Marsa 33%, draw 29%, Stade Tunisien 38%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: AS Marsa 0–1 Stade Tunisien. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AS Marsa33%fair 3.01 · @2.95
Draw29%fair 3.42 · @2.88
Stade Tunisien38%fair 2.66 · @2.45
2.00Expected goals
0.99AS Marsa xG
1.01Stade Tunisien xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–114%
0–014%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: AS Marsa 1.0 – 1.0 Stade Tunisien expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Tunisien to win✓
38%
2.66
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.00
Draw no bet
Stade Tunisien (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
AS Marsa +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Stade Tunisien to score first✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.61
–
Recent results
AS Marsa
No recent results on record.
Stade Tunisien – last 2
LW
21 Feb
@ ES Tunis
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Olympique Béja
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AS Marsa and Stade Tunisien.
What is the prediction for AS Marsa vs Stade Tunisien?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win AS Marsa vs Stade Tunisien?
On our numbers AS Marsa have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Stade Tunisien 38%.
How many goals will there be in AS Marsa vs Stade Tunisien?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AS Marsa vs Stade Tunisien?
Our predicted score is AS Marsa 0–1 Stade Tunisien, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is AS Marsa vs Stade Tunisien?
AS Marsa vs Stade Tunisien (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
US Monastirienne0
AS Soliman0