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Olympique Béja v ES Tunis: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · Tunisia · Boujemaa Kmiti Stadium
Olympique Béja 17%Draw 24%ES Tunis 59% Expected goals 0.73 – 1.55
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultES Tunis to win ✓59% · @1.44
Double chanceES Tunis or draw ✓83% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.14

Olympique Béja vs ES Tunis: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

ES Tunis travel to face Olympique Béja on Sunday 1 March in the Ligue 1, with Boujemaa Kmiti Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Olympique Béja are 15th, in the drop zone, on 3 points after 7 matches; ES Tunis are 2nd (among the top four) with 16. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

ES Tunis, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with ES Metlaoui, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Olympique Béja 0.7 xG, ES Tunis 1.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Olympique Béja 17%, draw 24%, ES Tunis 59%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olympique Béja 0–1 ES Tunis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Olympique Béja17%fair 5.97 · @6.60
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.95
ES Tunis59%fair 1.68 · @1.44
2.28Expected goals
0.73Olympique Béja xG
1.55ES Tunis xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
0–212%
1–112%
0–010%
1–29%
1–07%

From our goals model: Olympique Béja 0.7 – 1.6 ES Tunis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultES Tunis to win ✓59%1.681.44
Double chanceES Tunis or draw ✓83%1.201.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.912.10 ▲
Draw no betES Tunis (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapOlympique Béja +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.311.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreES Tunis to score first ✓61%1.64–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT ES Tunis / FT ES Tunis ✓35%2.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.14–

Recent results

Olympique Béja – last 1

L
13 Feb@ Stade Tunisien2–3L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

ES Tunis – last 3

DWW
25 Feb@ ES Metlaoui1–1D
21 Febvs Stade Tunisien1–0W
17 Feb@ AS Soliman3–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Olympique Béja and ES Tunis.

Olympique Béja vs ES Tunis head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1US Ben Guerdane7520+617
2ES Tunis7511+416
3Stade Tunisien7412+313
4Club Africain7412+213
5Monastir7331+212
6Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer7331+312
7CA Bizertin7322+111
8CS Sfaxien7241+210
9Jeunesse Sportive Omrane7241+110
10ES Sahel622208
11AS Marsa6132+16
12ES Metlaoui7205-56
13ES Zarzis7205-26
14CS Hammam-Lif7124-35
15Olympique Béja7034-53
16ES Hammam-Sousse7016-101

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Olympique Béja vs ES Tunis?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Olympique Béja vs ES Tunis?

On our numbers Olympique Béja have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and ES Tunis 59%.

How many goals will there be in Olympique Béja vs ES Tunis?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Olympique Béja vs ES Tunis?

Our predicted score is Olympique Béja 0–1 ES Tunis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Olympique Béja vs ES Tunis?

Olympique Béja vs ES Tunis (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Boujemaa Kmiti Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.