Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 53% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultStade Tunisien to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceStade Tunisien or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.05
Stade Tunisien vs ES Sahel: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 March the Ligue 1 brings Stade Tunisien against ES Sahel at Stade Hedi-Enneifer. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Stade Tunisien are 3rd, among the top four, on 13 points after 7 matches; ES Sahel are 10th (lower half) with 8.
Current form
Stade Tunisien, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over AS Marsa, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stade Tunisien 1.5 xG, ES Sahel 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stade Tunisien 55%, draw 26%, ES Sahel 19%.
Lower-risk option: Stade Tunisien or draw (81%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stade Tunisien 1–1 ES Sahel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stade Tunisien55%fair 1.82 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.90
ES Sahel19%fair 5.14 · @4.00
2.31Expected goals
1.51Stade Tunisien xG
0.81ES Sahel xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Stade Tunisien 1.5 – 0.8 ES Sahel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Tunisien to win✗
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Stade Tunisien or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Stade Tunisien (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
ES Sahel +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
First team to score
Stade Tunisien to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stade Tunisien / FT Stade Tunisien✗
32%
3.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.05
–
Recent results
Stade Tunisien – last 3
WLW
28 Feb
@ AS Marsa
4–0
W
21 Feb
@ ES Tunis
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Olympique Béja
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
ES Sahel – last 2
WW
28 Feb
vs AS Soliman
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ JS Kairouanaise
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stade Tunisien and ES Sahel.
What is the prediction for Stade Tunisien vs ES Sahel?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Stade Tunisien vs ES Sahel?
On our numbers Stade Tunisien have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and ES Sahel 19%.
How many goals will there be in Stade Tunisien vs ES Sahel?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stade Tunisien vs ES Sahel?
Our predicted score is Stade Tunisien 1–1 ES Sahel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Stade Tunisien vs ES Sahel?
Stade Tunisien vs ES Sahel (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Hedi-Enneifer.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
JS Kairouanaise1