Double chanceExcelsior Virton or draw ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Habay-la-Neuve vs Excelsior Virton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 1 March: Habay-la-Neuve v Excelsior Virton in the First Amateur Division.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Habay-la-Neuve 1.2 xG, Excelsior Virton 1.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Habay-la-Neuve 22%, draw 26%, Excelsior Virton 51%.
Lower-risk option: Excelsior Virton or draw (78%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Excelsior Virton or draw (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Habay-la-Neuve 1–1 Excelsior Virton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Habay-la-Neuve22%fair 4.46 · @3.50
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.30
Excelsior Virton51%fair 1.95 · @1.85
2.93Expected goals
1.16Habay-la-Neuve xG
1.77Excelsior Virton xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Habay-la-Neuve 1.2 – 1.8 Excelsior Virton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Habay-la-Neuve
Excelsior Virton
Attack vs First Amateur Division average
-27%
+18%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
+3%
Our expected goals here
0.93
1.32
Our own ratings from every First Amateur Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Excelsior Virton to win✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Double chance
Excelsior Virton or draw✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.62
Draw no bet
Excelsior Virton (draw no bet)✗
70%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Habay-la-Neuve +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Excelsior Virton to score first✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Excelsior Virton / FT Excelsior Virton✗
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Habay-la-Neuve – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Crossing Schaerbeek
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Excelsior Virton
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Habay-la-Neuve and Excelsior Virton.
What is the prediction for Habay-la-Neuve vs Excelsior Virton?
Our pick is Excelsior Virton or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Habay-la-Neuve vs Excelsior Virton?
On our numbers Habay-la-Neuve have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Excelsior Virton 51%.
How many goals will there be in Habay-la-Neuve vs Excelsior Virton?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Habay-la-Neuve vs Excelsior Virton?
Our predicted score is Habay-la-Neuve 1–1 Excelsior Virton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Habay-la-Neuve vs Excelsior Virton?
Habay-la-Neuve vs Excelsior Virton (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.