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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Habay-la-Neuve v Rochefort: numbers & prediction

First Amateur Division · Belgium

Habay-la-Neuve

WD
1–0
FT

Rochefort

W
Habay-la-Neuve 36%Draw 27%Rochefort 37% Expected goals 1.27 – 1.45
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2

Value bet: Rochefort to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultRochefort to win ✗37% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.38

Habay-la-Neuve vs Rochefort: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 15 March the First Amateur Division brings Habay-la-Neuve against Rochefort. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Habay-la-Neuve are 10th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 11 matches; Rochefort are 2nd (among the top four) with 22.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Habay-la-Neuve 1.3 xG, Rochefort 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Habay-la-Neuve 36%, draw 27%, Rochefort 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Rochefort to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Habay-la-Neuve 1–1 Rochefort. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Habay-la-Neuve36%fair 2.77 · @2.10
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.00
Rochefort37%fair 2.73 · @3.10
2.72Expected goals
1.27Habay-la-Neuve xG
1.45Rochefort xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Habay-la-Neuve 1.3 – 1.4 Rochefort expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Habay-la-NeuveRochefort
Attack vs First Amateur Division average-27%+18%
Goals conceded vs average-22%-21%
Our expected goals here0.961.32

Our own ratings from every First Amateur Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRochefort to win ✗37%2.733.10 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.381.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.70
Draw no betRochefort (draw no bet) ✗50%1.99–
Asian handicapHabay-la-Neuve +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.96–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreRochefort to score first ✗50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rochefort / FT Rochefort ✗24%4.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.38–

Recent results

Habay-la-Neuve – last 2

WD
1 Marvs Excelsior Virton3–1W
15 Feb@ Crossing Schaerbeek0–0D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Rochefort – last 1

W
15 Feb@ Standard Liège II1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Habay-la-Neuve and Rochefort.

Habay-la-Neuve vs Rochefort head-to-head page →

First Amateur Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Meux12813+925
2Rochefort12642+1222
3Union Saint-Gilloise II12633+721
4Tubize12633+521
5Albert Quévy-Mons12624+820
6RWDM12624+220
7Olympic Charleroi12444-816
8Standard Liège II12426+214
9Sporting Charleroi II12354-114
10Habay-la-Neuve11335-412
11Onhaye11317-1010
12Flénu120210-222

More First Amateur Division predictions

League hub
FT Hoogstraten2 Merelbeke0 145%2.10X24%3.25231%2.88 1.8–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.50 ✗
FT Diegem Sport3 Zelzate2 144%2.30X23%3.10233%2.62 2.2–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.44 ✓
FT Knokke2 Cercle Brugge II1 145%2.05X25%3.20230%3.00 1.7–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.53 ✓
FT Oud-Heverlee Leuven II1 Ninove4 154%1.67X23%3.70222%3.90 2.2–1.6xG 1XOud-Heverlee Leuven II or draw 78%@1.20 ✗
FT Sporting Charleroi II0 Union Saint-Gilloise II0 138%2.15X24%3.60238%2.50 1.5–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.50 ✗
FT Union Namur0 Standard Liège II0 137%2.50X28%2.90236%2.50 1.4–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.60 ✗
– Stockay-Warfusée2 Crossing Schaerbeek2 145%2.05X26%3.00229%3.20 1.7–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.62

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Habay-la-Neuve vs Rochefort?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Habay-la-Neuve vs Rochefort?

On our numbers Habay-la-Neuve have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Rochefort 37%.

How many goals will there be in Habay-la-Neuve vs Rochefort?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Habay-la-Neuve vs Rochefort?

Our predicted score is Habay-la-Neuve 1–1 Rochefort, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Habay-la-Neuve vs Rochefort?

Habay-la-Neuve vs Rochefort (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.