Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultExcelsior Virton to win ✓53% · @1.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.39
Rochefort vs Excelsior Virton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 3 May: Rochefort v Excelsior Virton in the First Amateur Division.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rochefort 1.6 xG, Excelsior Virton 1.8 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rochefort 25%, draw 22%, Excelsior Virton 53%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rochefort 1–1 Excelsior Virton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rochefort25%fair 3.99 · @7.00
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @4.20
Excelsior Virton53%fair 1.88 · @1.35
3.39Expected goals
1.57Rochefort xG
1.82Excelsior Virton xG
62%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Rochefort 1.6 – 1.8 Excelsior Virton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Rochefort
Excelsior Virton
Attack vs First Amateur Division average
+18%
+18%
Goals conceded vs average
-21%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.83
1.45
Our own ratings from every First Amateur Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Excelsior Virton to win✓
53%
1.88
1.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Excelsior Virton (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Rochefort +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
First team to score
Excelsior Virton to score first✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Excelsior Virton / FT Excelsior Virton✓
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.39
–
Recent results
Rochefort – last 2
LW
15 Mar
@ Habay-la-Neuve
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Standard Liège II
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Excelsior Virton – last 1
L
1 Mar
@ Habay-la-Neuve
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rochefort and Excelsior Virton.
What is the prediction for Rochefort vs Excelsior Virton?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Rochefort vs Excelsior Virton?
On our numbers Rochefort have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Excelsior Virton 53%.
How many goals will there be in Rochefort vs Excelsior Virton?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rochefort vs Excelsior Virton?
Our predicted score is Rochefort 1–1 Excelsior Virton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Rochefort vs Excelsior Virton?
Rochefort vs Excelsior Virton (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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