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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

UNAN Managua v Diriangén: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · Nicaragua
1–2
FT
UNAN Managua 18%Draw 22%Diriangén 60% Expected goals 1.11 – 1.80
60%
Betarazi pick

Diriangén to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDiriangén to win ✓60% · @1.25
Double chanceDiriangén or draw ✓82% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.22

UNAN Managua vs Diriangén: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Diriangén travel to face UNAN Managua on Thursday 5 March in the Primera Division – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, UNAN Managua are 4th, among the top four, on 25 points after 16 matches; Diriangén are 2nd (among the top four) with 36.

Current form

UNAN Managua, last 4: LLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Real Estelí, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Diriangén, last 4: WDWL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Rancho Santana, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Diriangén, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for UNAN Managua.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give UNAN Managua 1.1 xG, Diriangén 1.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – UNAN Managua 18%, draw 22%, Diriangén 60%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Diriangén to win (60%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: UNAN Managua 0–1 Diriangén. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

UNAN Managua18%fair 5.54 · @10.00
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @4.80
Diriangén60%fair 1.66 · @1.25
2.91Expected goals
1.11UNAN Managua xG
1.80Diriangén xG
55%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–06%
2–16%

From our goals model: UNAN Managua 1.1 – 1.8 Diriangén expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDiriangén to win ✓60%1.661.25
Double chanceDiriangén or draw ✓82%1.221.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.812.05 ▲
Draw no betDiriangén (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapUNAN Managua +1 (Asian handicap)61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.80–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scoreDiriangén to score first58%1.71–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Diriangén / FT Diriangén ✗33%3.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10%10.22–

Recent results

UNAN Managua – last 4

LLLW
2 Marvs Real Estelí0–3L
27 Feb@ Walter Ferretti0–2L
22 Feb@ H&H Export1–4L
20 Febvs Managua3–1W
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Diriangén – last 4

WDWL
26 Febvs Rancho Santana5–1W
22 Febvs Managua1–1D
20 Feb@ Real Madriz1–0W
16 Febvs H&H Export0–1L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between UNAN Managua and Diriangén.

UNAN Managua vs Diriangén head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Managua161321+3441
2Diriangén161132+1636
3Real Estelí16943+1531
4UNAN Managua16745-225
5Walter Ferretti16637+621
6H&H Export16628-1220
7San Marcos16448-716
8Jalapa16439-615
9Rancho Santana162410-1710
10Matagalpa163112-2710

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for UNAN Managua vs Diriangén?

Our pick is Diriangén to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win UNAN Managua vs Diriangén?

On our numbers UNAN Managua have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Diriangén 60%.

How many goals will there be in UNAN Managua vs Diriangén?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for UNAN Managua vs Diriangén?

Our predicted score is UNAN Managua 0–1 Diriangén, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is UNAN Managua vs Diriangén?

UNAN Managua vs Diriangén (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.