UNAN Managua 39%Draw 24%Matagalpa 36%Expected goals 1.62 – 1.19
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: UNAN Managua to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUNAN Managua to win ✓39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.64
UNAN Managua vs Matagalpa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Matagalpa travel to face UNAN Managua on Sunday 8 March in the Primera Division – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, UNAN Managua are 4th, among the top four, on 25 points after 16 matches; Matagalpa are 10th (in the drop zone) with 10. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
UNAN Managua, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Diriangén, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.4 conceded per game.
Matagalpa, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Real Madriz, at home. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Matagalpa, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.6 for UNAN Managua.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UNAN Managua 1.6 xG, Matagalpa 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UNAN Managua 39%, draw 24%, Matagalpa 36%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: UNAN Managua to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: UNAN Managua 1–1 Matagalpa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UNAN Managua39%fair 2.54 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.30
Matagalpa36%fair 2.76 · @2.05
2.81Expected goals
1.62UNAN Managua xG
1.19Matagalpa xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: UNAN Managua 1.6 – 1.2 Matagalpa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UNAN Managua to win✓
39%
2.54
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.62
Draw no bet
UNAN Managua (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Matagalpa +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
UNAN Managua to score first✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UNAN Managua / FT UNAN Managua✓
28%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.64
–
Recent results
UNAN Managua – last 5
LLLLW
5 Mar
vs Diriangén
1–2
L
2 Mar
vs Real Estelí
0–3
L
27 Feb
@ Walter Ferretti
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ H&H Export
1–4
L
20 Feb
vs Managua
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Matagalpa – last 5
LDDWD
5 Mar
vs Real Madriz
2–4
L
26 Feb
vs H&H Export
1–1
D
23 Feb
vs Real Estelí
1–1
D
19 Feb
@ Walter Ferretti
3–0
W
16 Feb
@ Managua
1–1
D
1.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UNAN Managua and Matagalpa.
What is the prediction for UNAN Managua vs Matagalpa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win UNAN Managua vs Matagalpa?
On our numbers UNAN Managua have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Matagalpa 36%.
How many goals will there be in UNAN Managua vs Matagalpa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UNAN Managua vs Matagalpa?
Our predicted score is UNAN Managua 1–1 Matagalpa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is UNAN Managua vs Matagalpa?
UNAN Managua vs Matagalpa (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
