Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.97 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFC Minsk to win ✗54% · @1.81
Double chanceFC Minsk or draw ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.97
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.10
FC Minsk vs Arsenal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Minsk welcome Arsenal to Stadion Traktor for a Premier League fixture on Friday 20 March (15:00 WAT). In the table, FC Minsk are 9th, lower half, on 35 points after 28 matches; Arsenal are 12th (lower half) with 27.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Minsk 1.5 xG, Arsenal 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Minsk 54%, draw 23%, Arsenal 23%.
Lower-risk option: FC Minsk or draw (77%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.97.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.97 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Minsk or draw (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Minsk 1–0 Arsenal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Minsk54%fair 1.85 · @1.81
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.98
Arsenal23%fair 4.39 · @3.72
2.31Expected goals
1.47FC Minsk xG
0.84Arsenal xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: FC Minsk 1.5 – 0.8 Arsenal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Minsk to win✗
54%
1.85
1.81
Double chance
FC Minsk or draw✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.97 ▲
Draw no bet
FC Minsk (draw no bet)
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Arsenal +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.34
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.03
First team to score
FC Minsk to score first
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Minsk / FT FC Minsk✗
31%
3.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.10
–
Recent results
FC Minsk – last 2
LL
21 Feb
vs FC Gomel
0–4
L
14 Feb
@ Belshina
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arsenal – last 2
LL
15 Mar
vs Slavia Mozyr
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Slavia Mozyr
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Minsk and Arsenal.
Our pick is FC Minsk or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Minsk vs Arsenal?
On our numbers FC Minsk have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arsenal 23%.
How many goals will there be in FC Minsk vs Arsenal?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Minsk vs Arsenal?
Our predicted score is FC Minsk 1–0 Arsenal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is FC Minsk vs Arsenal?
FC Minsk vs Arsenal (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Traktor.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
