Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.41
Bate Borisov vs ML Vitebsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Bate Borisov v ML Vitebsk in the Premier League, played at Borisov Arena. In the table, Bate Borisov are 14th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 28 matches; ML Vitebsk are 1st (leading the league) with 62. There are 38 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bate Borisov, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Slavia Mozyr, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
ML Vitebsk, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Dinamo Minsk, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours ML Vitebsk, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.4 for Bate Borisov.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bate Borisov 0.6 xG, ML Vitebsk 1.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bate Borisov 13%, draw 26%, ML Vitebsk 61%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bate Borisov 0–1 ML Vitebsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bate Borisov13%fair 7.73 · @6.80
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.60
ML Vitebsk61%fair 1.65 · @1.57
2.13Expected goals
0.58Bate Borisov xG
1.55ML Vitebsk xG
49%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–214%
0–012%
1–111%
1–28%
0–37%
From our goals model: Bate Borisov 0.6 – 1.6 ML Vitebsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ML Vitebsk to win✓
61%
1.65
1.57
Double chance
ML Vitebsk or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.65
Draw no bet
ML Vitebsk (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
ML Vitebsk -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.72
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.27
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.06
First team to score
ML Vitebsk to score first
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ML Vitebsk / FT ML Vitebsk✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.41
–
Recent results
Bate Borisov – last 5
WWDLL
15 Apr
@ Slavia Mozyr
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Baranovichi
3–0
W
21 Mar
@ Neman
0–0
D
7 Mar
@ Torpedo Zhodino
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Dinamo Minsk
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
ML Vitebsk – last 3
LWW
15 Apr
vs Dinamo Minsk
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Dinamo Brest
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Dinamo Brest
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bate Borisov and ML Vitebsk.
What is the prediction for Bate Borisov vs ML Vitebsk?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Bate Borisov vs ML Vitebsk?
On our numbers Bate Borisov have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 26% and ML Vitebsk 61%.
How many goals will there be in Bate Borisov vs ML Vitebsk?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bate Borisov vs ML Vitebsk?
Our predicted score is Bate Borisov 0–1 ML Vitebsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Bate Borisov vs ML Vitebsk?
Bate Borisov vs ML Vitebsk (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Borisov Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
