Value bet: Belshina to win @ 2.45 – our chance 48% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBelshina to win ✓48% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Belshina vs Naftan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Saturday 23 May: Belshina v Naftan in the Premier League, played at Spartak Stadium. In the table, Belshina are 13th, lower half, on 24 points after 28 matches; Naftan are 16th (in the drop zone) with 17.
Current form
Belshina, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FC Gomel, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Naftan, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Slavia Mozyr, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Belshina 1.8 xG, Naftan 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 51% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Belshina 48%, draw 24%, Naftan 28%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.79.
Price worth noting: Belshina to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.31). Most likely score in line with that pick: Belshina 1–1 Naftan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Belshina48%fair 2.07 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.12
Naftan28%fair 3.57 · @2.91
2.95Expected goals
1.80Belshina xG
1.15Naftan xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
1–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Belshina 1.8 – 1.1 Naftan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Belshina to win✓
48%
2.07
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.79
Draw no bet
Belshina (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Naftan +1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
2.08 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
1.04
First team to score
Belshina to score first✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Belshina / FT Belshina✓
33%
3.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Belshina – last 6
LLLWDL
26 Apr
vs FC Gomel
0–2
L
20 Apr
@ Arsenal
0–2
L
10 Apr
vs FC Dnepr Mogilev
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Dinamo Brest
1–0
W
14 Mar
vs FC Slutsk
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ Slavia Mozyr
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Naftan – last 6
LDLLLD
17 May
vs Slavia Mozyr
0–1
L
10 May
vs Bate Borisov
0–0
D
1 May
@ FC Minsk
2–4
L
10 Apr
vs FC Gomel
0–2
L
3 Apr
@ Arsenal
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs FC Dnepr Mogilev
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Belshina and Naftan.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Belshina vs Naftan?
On our numbers Belshina have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Naftan 28%.
How many goals will there be in Belshina vs Naftan?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Belshina vs Naftan?
Our predicted score is Belshina 1–1 Naftan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Belshina vs Naftan?
Belshina vs Naftan (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Spartak Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
