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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bate Borisov v FC Dnepr Mogilev: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Belarus · Borisov Arena
1–1
FT
Bate Borisov 38%Draw 27%FC Dnepr Mogilev 35% Expected goals 1.13 – 1.06
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.27 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.27Odds

Picks by market

ResultBate Borisov to win ✗38% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.17

Bate Borisov vs FC Dnepr Mogilev: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Dnepr Mogilev travel to face Bate Borisov on Sunday 31 May in the Premier League, with Borisov Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Bate Borisov are 14th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 28 matches; FC Dnepr Mogilev are 15th (in the drop zone) with 23. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Bate Borisov, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Slavia Mozyr, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

FC Dnepr Mogilev, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Dinamo Minsk, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bate Borisov 1.1 xG, FC Dnepr Mogilev 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bate Borisov 38%, draw 27%, FC Dnepr Mogilev 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.69.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bate Borisov 1–1 FC Dnepr Mogilev. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bate Borisov38%fair 2.60 · @2.34
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.55
FC Dnepr Mogilev35%fair 2.88 · @2.75
2.19Expected goals
1.13Bate Borisov xG
1.06FC Dnepr Mogilev xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Bate Borisov 1.1 – 1.1 FC Dnepr Mogilev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBate Borisov to win ✗38%2.602.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.371.27
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.841.69
Draw no betBate Borisov (draw no bet)53%1.90–
Asian handicapFC Dnepr Mogilev +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.461.24
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.771.88 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.27
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.06
First team to scoreBate Borisov to score first46%2.18–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bate Borisov / FT Bate Borisov ✗21%4.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.17–

Recent results

Bate Borisov – last 6

DDDWLL
24 May@ Slavia Mozyr1–1D
20 Mayvs Dinamo Minsk0–0D
10 May@ Naftan0–0D
29 Aprvs Slavia Mozyr2–0W
24 Apr@ FC Minsk0–1L
19 Aprvs ML Vitebsk1–2L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

FC Dnepr Mogilev – last 6

LDLDWL
24 May@ Dinamo Minsk1–3L
17 Mayvs Dinamo Brest1–1D
26 Apr@ FC Isloch Minsk R.1–2L
20 Aprvs Torpedo Zhodino2–2D
10 Apr@ Belshina2–1W
5 Aprvs Slavia Mozyr0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bate Borisov and FC Dnepr Mogilev.

Bate Borisov vs FC Dnepr Mogilev head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ML Vitebsk281882+4262
2FC Isloch Minsk R.281873+3161
3Dinamo Minsk281945+2861
4Dinamo Brest281567+2151
5Neman281549+949
6FC Gomel281279+1143
7FC Vitebsk2811710+340
8Torpedo Zhodino2810612-136
9FC Minsk2810513-735
10Slavia Mozyr289712-234
11Baranovichi288713-1531
12Arsenal286913-2127
13Belshina286616-2324
14Bate Borisov285914-1424
15FC Dnepr Mogilev2841113-1623
16Naftan284519-4617

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bate Borisov vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.

Who will win Bate Borisov vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?

On our numbers Bate Borisov have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and FC Dnepr Mogilev 35%.

How many goals will there be in Bate Borisov vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bate Borisov vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?

Our predicted score is Bate Borisov 1–1 FC Dnepr Mogilev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Bate Borisov vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?

Bate Borisov vs FC Dnepr Mogilev (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Borisov Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.