Value bet: Belshina to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBate Borisov to win ✗39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.49
Belshina vs Bate Borisov: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Belshina welcome Bate Borisov to Spartak Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Friday 12 June (17:00 WAT). In the table, Belshina are 13th, lower half, on 24 points after 28 matches; Bate Borisov are 14th (in the drop zone) with 24. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Belshina, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Slavia Mozyr, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Bate Borisov, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Dnepr Mogilev, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Belshina 1.1 xG, Bate Borisov 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Belshina 34%, draw 28%, Bate Borisov 39%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Belshina to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Belshina 1–0 Bate Borisov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Belshina34%fair 2.97 · @3.40
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.00
Bate Borisov39%fair 2.58 · @2.05
2.25Expected goals
1.13Belshina xG
1.11Bate Borisov xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Belshina 1.1 – 1.1 Bate Borisov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bate Borisov to win✗
39%
2.58
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.85
Draw no bet
Bate Borisov (draw no bet)
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Bate Borisov +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Belshina to score first✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Belshina / FT Belshina✗
20%
4.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.49
–
Recent results
Belshina – last 6
LWLLLW
31 May
@ Slavia Mozyr
1–2
L
23 May
vs Naftan
5–1
W
26 Apr
vs FC Gomel
0–2
L
20 Apr
@ Arsenal
0–2
L
10 Apr
vs FC Dnepr Mogilev
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Dinamo Brest
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bate Borisov – last 6
DDDDWL
31 May
vs FC Dnepr Mogilev
1–1
D
24 May
@ Slavia Mozyr
1–1
D
20 May
vs Dinamo Minsk
0–0
D
10 May
@ Naftan
0–0
D
29 Apr
vs Slavia Mozyr
2–0
W
24 Apr
@ FC Minsk
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Belshina and Bate Borisov.
What is the prediction for Belshina vs Bate Borisov?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Belshina vs Bate Borisov?
On our numbers Belshina have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Bate Borisov 39%.
How many goals will there be in Belshina vs Bate Borisov?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Belshina vs Bate Borisov?
Our predicted score is Belshina 1–0 Bate Borisov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Belshina vs Bate Borisov?
Belshina vs Bate Borisov (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 12 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Spartak Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
