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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bate Borisov v Arsenal: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Belarus · Borisov Arena
2–3
FT

Arsenal

WLLDD
Bate Borisov 43%Draw 30%Arsenal 27% Expected goals 1.09 – 0.73
73%
Betarazi pick

Bate Borisov or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultBate Borisov to win ✗43% · @2.25
Double chanceBate Borisov or draw ✗73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.25

Bate Borisov vs Arsenal: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bate Borisov welcome Arsenal to Borisov Arena for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 21 June (16:00 WAT). In the table, Bate Borisov are 14th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 28 matches; Arsenal are 12th (lower half) with 27. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Bate Borisov, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Molodechno-DYuSSh 4, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Arsenal, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Dnepr Mogilev, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bate Borisov 1.1 xG, Arsenal 0.7 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bate Borisov 43%, draw 30%, Arsenal 27%.
  • Lower-risk option: Bate Borisov or draw (73%) at 1.33.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Bate Borisov or draw (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bate Borisov 1–0 Arsenal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bate Borisov43%fair 2.34 · @2.25
Draw30%fair 3.31 · @2.90
Arsenal27%fair 3.70 · @3.00
1.82Expected goals
1.09Bate Borisov xG
0.73Arsenal xG
52%Both score
27%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
0–016%
1–113%
0–112%
2–010%
2–17%

From our goals model: Bate Borisov 1.1 – 0.7 Arsenal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBate Borisov to win ✗43%2.342.25
Double chanceBate Borisov or draw ✗73%1.371.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.941.91
Draw no betBate Borisov (draw no bet) ✗61%1.63–
Asian handicapArsenal +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73%1.38–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗89%1.13–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗96%1.04–
First team to scoreBate Borisov to score first ✓50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bate Borisov / FT Bate Borisov ✗25%4.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%14.25–

Recent results

Bate Borisov – last 6

WDDDDD
17 Jun@ Molodechno-DYuSSh 44–1W
12 Jun@ Belshina1–1D
31 Mayvs FC Dnepr Mogilev1–1D
24 May@ Slavia Mozyr1–1D
20 Mayvs Dinamo Minsk0–0D
10 May@ Naftan0–0D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Arsenal – last 6

WLLDDW
14 Jun@ FC Dnepr Mogilev1–0W
30 Mayvs Dinamo Minsk0–1L
17 Mayvs ML Vitebsk0–3L
8 May@ Baranovichi1–1D
1 Mayvs FC Isloch Minsk R.2–2D
20 Aprvs Belshina2–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bate Borisov and Arsenal.

Bate Borisov vs Arsenal head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ML Vitebsk281882+4262
2FC Isloch Minsk R.281873+3161
3Dinamo Minsk281945+2861
4Dinamo Brest281567+2151
5Neman281549+949
6FC Gomel281279+1143
7FC Vitebsk2811710+340
8Torpedo Zhodino2810612-136
9FC Minsk2810513-735
10Slavia Mozyr289712-234
11Baranovichi288713-1531
12Arsenal286913-2127
13Belshina286616-2324
14Bate Borisov285914-1424
15FC Dnepr Mogilev2841113-1623
16Naftan284519-4617

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bate Borisov vs Arsenal?

Our pick is Bate Borisov or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Bate Borisov vs Arsenal?

On our numbers Bate Borisov have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Arsenal 27%.

How many goals will there be in Bate Borisov vs Arsenal?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bate Borisov vs Arsenal?

Our predicted score is Bate Borisov 1–0 Arsenal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Bate Borisov vs Arsenal?

Bate Borisov vs Arsenal (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Borisov Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.