ML Vitebsk 83%Draw 13%Naftan 4%Expected goals 2.91 – 0.55
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultML Vitebsk to win ✓83% · @1.14
Double chanceML Vitebsk or draw ✓96% · fair 1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.38
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗13% · fair 7.71
ML Vitebsk vs Naftan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Saturday 27 June: ML Vitebsk v Naftan in the Premier League, played at Vitebsk CSK. In the table, ML Vitebsk are 1st, leading the league, on 62 points after 28 matches; Naftan are 16th (in the drop zone) with 17. There are 45 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
ML Vitebsk, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FC Minsk, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Naftan, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Baranovichi, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours ML Vitebsk, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Naftan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ML Vitebsk 2.9 xG, Naftan 0.5 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ML Vitebsk 83%, draw 13%, Naftan 4%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.38.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: ML Vitebsk 3–0 Naftan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ML Vitebsk83%fair 1.21 · @1.14
Draw13%fair 7.64 · @6.65
Naftan4%fair 23.53 · @24.00
3.45Expected goals
2.91ML Vitebsk xG
0.55Naftan xG
46%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
3–013%
4–09%
1–09%
2–17%
3–17%
From our goals model: ML Vitebsk 2.9 – 0.5 Naftan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ML Vitebsk to win✓
83%
1.21
1.14
Double chance
ML Vitebsk or draw✓
96%
1.04
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.38
Draw no bet
ML Vitebsk (draw no bet)✓
95%
1.05
–
Asian handicap
ML Vitebsk -1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.61
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
First team to score
ML Vitebsk to score first
82%
1.23
–
Half-time result
ML Vitebsk ahead at half-time✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ML Vitebsk / FT ML Vitebsk✗
62%
1.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
13%
7.71
–
Recent results
ML Vitebsk – last 6
DDLWDW
21 Jun
@ FC Minsk
2–2
D
17 Jun
@ FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
2–2
D
13 Jun
vs FC Vitebsk
1–2
L
30 May
@ Neman
2–1
W
22 May
vs FC Gomel
0–0
D
17 May
@ Arsenal
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Naftan – last 6
WLLLDL
19 Jun
vs Baranovichi
1–0
W
12 Jun
@ FC Isloch Minsk R.
1–3
L
23 May
@ Belshina
1–5
L
17 May
vs Slavia Mozyr
0–1
L
10 May
vs Bate Borisov
0–0
D
1 May
@ FC Minsk
2–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ML Vitebsk and Naftan.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win ML Vitebsk vs Naftan?
On our numbers ML Vitebsk have a 83% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Naftan 4%.
How many goals will there be in ML Vitebsk vs Naftan?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ML Vitebsk vs Naftan?
Our predicted score is ML Vitebsk 3–0 Naftan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is ML Vitebsk vs Naftan?
ML Vitebsk vs Naftan (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Vitebsk CSK.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
