Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Neman to win @ 1.88 – our chance 64% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNeman to win ✓64% · @1.88
Double chanceNeman or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.88
Bate Borisov vs Neman: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 14 October the Premier League brings Bate Borisov against Neman at Borisov Arena. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Bate Borisov are 14th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 28 matches; Neman are 5th (upper half) with 49. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bate Borisov, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Slavia Mozyr, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Neman, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Baranovichi, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Neman, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.7 for Bate Borisov.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Mar 2026) it ended Neman 0–0 Bate Borisov.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bate Borisov 0.6 xG, Neman 1.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bate Borisov 13%, draw 23%, Neman 64%.
Lower-risk option: Neman or draw (87%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Neman to win @1.88 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Neman or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bate Borisov 0–1 Neman. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bate Borisov13%fair 7.47 · @4.15
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.32
Neman64%fair 1.57 · @1.88
2.29Expected goals
0.61Bate Borisov xG
1.68Neman xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–214%
1–110%
0–010%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Bate Borisov 0.6 – 1.7 Neman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Neman or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Bate Borisov vs Neman?
On our numbers Bate Borisov have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Neman 64%.
How many goals will there be in Bate Borisov vs Neman?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bate Borisov vs Neman?
Our predicted score is Bate Borisov 0–1 Neman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Bate Borisov vs Neman?
Bate Borisov vs Neman (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Borisov Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
