Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.52
ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 15 October the Premier League brings ML Vitebsk against Torpedo Zhodino at Tikhinichi Sportcomplex. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, ML Vitebsk are 1st, leading the league, on 62 points after 28 matches; Torpedo Zhodino are 8th (upper half) with 36. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
ML Vitebsk, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 5–1 win over FC Gomel, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Torpedo Zhodino, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Minsk, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours ML Vitebsk, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Torpedo Zhodino.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ML Vitebsk 1.9 xG, Torpedo Zhodino 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ML Vitebsk 65%, draw 23%, Torpedo Zhodino 12%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: ML Vitebsk 2–0 Torpedo Zhodino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ML Vitebsk65%fair 1.55 · @1.40
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @4.20
Torpedo Zhodino12%fair 8.16 · @8.20
2.68Expected goals
1.94ML Vitebsk xG
0.74Torpedo Zhodino xG
49%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: ML Vitebsk 1.9 – 0.7 Torpedo Zhodino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ML Vitebsk to win✓
65%
1.55
1.40
Double chance
ML Vitebsk or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.60
Draw no bet
ML Vitebsk (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
ML Vitebsk -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.07
First team to score
ML Vitebsk to score first✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
ML Vitebsk ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ML Vitebsk / FT ML Vitebsk✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.52
–
Recent results
ML Vitebsk – last 6
WWDDDW
11 Oct
@ FC Gomel
5–1
W
18 Sep
vs Arsenal
5–1
W
13 Sep
@ FC Dnepr Mogilev
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Dinamo Minsk
0–0
D
2 Sep
vs Belshina
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Dinamo Brest
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Torpedo Zhodino – last 6
WLLLLW
10 Oct
@ FC Minsk
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Torpedo Moskva
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ FC Vitebsk
0–6
L
12 Sep
@ Neman
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs FC Gomel
1–2
L
30 Aug
@ Arsenal
4–2
W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ML Vitebsk and Torpedo Zhodino.
What is the prediction for ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?
On our numbers ML Vitebsk have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Torpedo Zhodino 12%.
How many goals will there be in ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?
Our predicted score is ML Vitebsk 2–0 Torpedo Zhodino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?
ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Tikhinichi Sportcomplex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
