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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Naftan v Arsenal: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Belarus · Atlant Stadium

Naftan

DDLLW
3–0
FT

Arsenal

LDDLW
Naftan 34%Draw 27%Arsenal 39% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.36
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultArsenal to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.92

Naftan vs Arsenal: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Arsenal travel to face Naftan on Friday 7 August in the Premier League, with Atlant Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:45 WAT. In the table, Naftan are 16th, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 28 matches; Arsenal are 12th (lower half) with 27.

Current form

Naftan, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with FC Dnepr Mogilev, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Arsenal, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Minsk, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Arsenal 2–0 Naftan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Naftan 1.3 xG, Arsenal 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Naftan 34%, draw 27%, Arsenal 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naftan 1–1 Arsenal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Naftan34%fair 2.95 · @3.00
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.00
Arsenal39%fair 2.56 · @2.20
2.66Expected goals
1.31Naftan xG
1.36Arsenal xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Naftan 1.3 – 1.4 Arsenal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArsenal to win ✗39%2.562.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.75
Draw no betArsenal (draw no bet) ✗53%1.87–
Asian handicapNaftan +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.99–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreArsenal to score first ✗47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arsenal / FT Arsenal ✗22%4.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.92–

Recent results

Naftan – last 6

DDLLWL
31 Jul@ FC Dnepr Mogilev3–3D
19 Jul@ Orsha2–2D
3 Julvs Dinamo Brest2–4L
27 Jun@ ML Vitebsk1–2L
19 Junvs Baranovichi1–0W
12 Jun@ FC Isloch Minsk R.1–3L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Arsenal – last 6

LDDLWD
1 Augvs FC Minsk1–2L
26 Julvs Neman2–2D
18 Jul@ Bumprom0–0D
12 Julvs FC Vitebsk0–3L
4 Jul@ Neman1–0W
26 Junvs FC Gomel1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Apr 2026Arsenal v Naftan2–0
Naftan vs Arsenal head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ML Vitebsk281882+4262
2FC Isloch Minsk R.281873+3161
3Dinamo Minsk281945+2861
4Dinamo Brest281567+2151
5Neman281549+949
6FC Gomel281279+1143
7FC Vitebsk2811710+340
8Torpedo Zhodino2810612-136
9FC Minsk2810513-735
10Slavia Mozyr289712-234
11Baranovichi288713-1531
12Arsenal286913-2127
13Belshina286616-2324
14Bate Borisov285914-1424
15FC Dnepr Mogilev2841113-1623
16Naftan284519-4617

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Naftan vs Arsenal?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Naftan vs Arsenal?

On our numbers Naftan have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Arsenal 39%.

How many goals will there be in Naftan vs Arsenal?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Naftan vs Arsenal?

Our predicted score is Naftan 1–1 Arsenal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Naftan vs Arsenal?

Naftan vs Arsenal (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time) at Atlant Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.