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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

ML Vitebsk v Bate Borisov: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Belarus · Vitebsk CSK
0–0
FT
ML Vitebsk 67%Draw 21%Bate Borisov 12% Expected goals 1.83 – 0.62
67%
Betarazi pick

ML Vitebsk to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultML Vitebsk to win ✗67% · @1.44
Double chanceML Vitebsk or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.17

ML Vitebsk vs Bate Borisov: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 23 August the Premier League brings ML Vitebsk against Bate Borisov at Vitebsk CSK. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, ML Vitebsk are 1st, leading the league, on 62 points after 28 matches; Bate Borisov are 14th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 38 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

ML Vitebsk, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Baranovichi, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Bate Borisov, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Vitebsk, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours ML Vitebsk, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Bate Borisov.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Bate Borisov 1–2 ML Vitebsk.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give ML Vitebsk 1.8 xG, Bate Borisov 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – ML Vitebsk 67%, draw 21%, Bate Borisov 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was ML Vitebsk to win (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: ML Vitebsk 1–0 Bate Borisov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

ML Vitebsk67%fair 1.50 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.80
Bate Borisov12%fair 8.22 · @6.00
2.45Expected goals
1.83ML Vitebsk xG
0.62Bate Borisov xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–09%

From our goals model: ML Vitebsk 1.8 – 0.6 Bate Borisov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultML Vitebsk to win ✗67%1.501.44
Double chanceML Vitebsk or draw ✓88%1.141.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.911.95
Draw no betML Vitebsk (draw no bet)85%1.18–
Asian handicapML Vitebsk -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.42–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.80–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreML Vitebsk to score first ✗68%1.46–
Half-time resultML Vitebsk ahead at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT ML Vitebsk / FT ML Vitebsk ✗42%2.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.17–

Recent results

ML Vitebsk – last 6

WWLWWL
19 Augvs Baranovichi2–0W
13 Augvs Borac Banja Luka1–0W
6 Aug@ Borac Banja Luka0–1L
30 Jul@ Sutjeska2–1W
23 Julvs Sutjeska3–0W
15 Jul@ Universitatea Craiova0–1L
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Bate Borisov – last 6

WDLDDD
15 Augvs FC Vitebsk1–0W
9 Aug@ Baranovichi2–2D
30 Jul@ FC Sion0–4L
23 Julvs FC Sion1–1D
16 Julvs AF Elbasani0–0D
7 Jul@ AF Elbasani1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Bate Borisov v ML Vitebsk1–2
ML Vitebsk vs Bate Borisov head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ML Vitebsk281882+4262
2FC Isloch Minsk R.281873+3161
3Dinamo Minsk281945+2861
4Dinamo Brest281567+2151
5Neman281549+949
6FC Gomel281279+1143
7FC Vitebsk2811710+340
8Torpedo Zhodino2810612-136
9FC Minsk2810513-735
10Slavia Mozyr289712-234
11Baranovichi288713-1531
12Arsenal286913-2127
13Belshina286616-2324
14Bate Borisov285914-1424
15FC Dnepr Mogilev2841113-1623
16Naftan284519-4617

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ML Vitebsk vs Bate Borisov?

Our pick is ML Vitebsk to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win ML Vitebsk vs Bate Borisov?

On our numbers ML Vitebsk have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bate Borisov 12%.

How many goals will there be in ML Vitebsk vs Bate Borisov?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ML Vitebsk vs Bate Borisov?

Our predicted score is ML Vitebsk 1–0 Bate Borisov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is ML Vitebsk vs Bate Borisov?

ML Vitebsk vs Bate Borisov (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Vitebsk CSK.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.