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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bate Borisov v FC Minsk: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Belarus · Borisov Arena
2–1
FT
Bate Borisov 36%Draw 24%FC Minsk 40% Expected goals 1.06 – 1.16
51%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.98 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.85Odds
2

Value bet: FC Minsk to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFC Minsk to win ✗40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.96

Bate Borisov vs FC Minsk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 30 August the Premier League brings Bate Borisov against FC Minsk at Borisov Arena. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Bate Borisov are 14th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 28 matches; FC Minsk are 9th (lower half) with 35.

Current form

Bate Borisov, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with ML Vitebsk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

FC Minsk, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Vitebsk, at home. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FC Minsk, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Bate Borisov.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended FC Minsk 1–0 Bate Borisov.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bate Borisov 1.1 xG, FC Minsk 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bate Borisov 36%, draw 24%, FC Minsk 40%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: FC Minsk to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bate Borisov 0–1 FC Minsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bate Borisov36%fair 2.81 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
FC Minsk40%fair 2.49 · @2.90
2.22Expected goals
1.06Bate Borisov xG
1.16FC Minsk xG
49%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%

From our goals model: Bate Borisov 1.1 – 1.2 FC Minsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Minsk to win ✗40%2.492.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.981.85
Draw no betFC Minsk (draw no bet) ✗53%1.88–
Asian handicapBate Borisov +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreFC Minsk to score first ✓46%2.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Minsk / FT FC Minsk ✗21%4.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13%7.96–

Recent results

Bate Borisov – last 6

DWDLDD
23 Aug@ ML Vitebsk0–0D
15 Augvs FC Vitebsk1–0W
9 Aug@ Baranovichi2–2D
30 Jul@ FC Sion0–4L
23 Julvs FC Sion1–1D
16 Julvs AF Elbasani0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

FC Minsk – last 6

LLWWWW
21 Augvs FC Vitebsk0–1L
15 Aug@ Neman1–2L
9 Aug@ FC Gomel1–0W
1 Aug@ Arsenal2–1W
25 Jul@ Belshina2–1W
18 Jul@ Smorgon4–3W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Apr 2026FC Minsk v Bate Borisov1–0
Bate Borisov vs FC Minsk head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ML Vitebsk281882+4262
2FC Isloch Minsk R.281873+3161
3Dinamo Minsk281945+2861
4Dinamo Brest281567+2151
5Neman281549+949
6FC Gomel281279+1143
7FC Vitebsk2811710+340
8Torpedo Zhodino2810612-136
9FC Minsk2810513-735
10Slavia Mozyr289712-234
11Baranovichi288713-1531
12Arsenal286913-2127
13Belshina286616-2324
14Bate Borisov285914-1424
15FC Dnepr Mogilev2841113-1623
16Naftan284519-4617

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bate Borisov vs FC Minsk?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Bate Borisov vs FC Minsk?

On our numbers Bate Borisov have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC Minsk 40%.

How many goals will there be in Bate Borisov vs FC Minsk?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bate Borisov vs FC Minsk?

Our predicted score is Bate Borisov 0–1 FC Minsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Bate Borisov vs FC Minsk?

Bate Borisov vs FC Minsk (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Borisov Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.