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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Vitebsk v Naftan: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Belarus · Centralnyj Stadion
2–0
FT

Naftan

LLWDD
FC Vitebsk 70%Draw 20%Naftan 11% Expected goals 1.98 – 0.61
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.27 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.27Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Vitebsk to win ✓70% · @1.39
Double chanceFC Vitebsk or draw ✓89% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.74

FC Vitebsk vs Naftan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Naftan travel to face FC Vitebsk on Friday 28 August in the Premier League, with Centralnyj Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, FC Vitebsk are 7th, upper half, on 40 points after 28 matches; Naftan are 16th (in the drop zone) with 17. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FC Vitebsk, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Minsk, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Naftan, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Neman, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FC Vitebsk, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Naftan.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Mar 2026) it ended Naftan 1–1 FC Vitebsk.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Vitebsk 2.0 xG, Naftan 0.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Vitebsk 70%, draw 20%, Naftan 11%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Vitebsk 1–0 Naftan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Vitebsk70%fair 1.43 · @1.39
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @4.33
Naftan11%fair 9.42 · @8.20
2.59Expected goals
1.98FC Vitebsk xG
0.61Naftan xG
48%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%

From our goals model: FC Vitebsk 2.0 – 0.6 Naftan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Vitebsk to win ✓70%1.431.39
Double chanceFC Vitebsk or draw ✓89%1.121.05
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.941.60
Draw no betFC Vitebsk (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapFC Vitebsk -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.941.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.381.27
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.06
First team to scoreFC Vitebsk to score first ✓71%1.42–
Half-time resultFC Vitebsk ahead at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Vitebsk / FT FC Vitebsk ✓45%2.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.74–

Recent results

FC Vitebsk – last 6

WLWWDD
21 Aug@ FC Minsk1–0W
15 Aug@ Bate Borisov0–1L
8 Augvs Neman1–0W
1 Aug@ FC Gomel1–0W
25 Jul@ FC Gomel1–1D
18 Jul@ Ostrovets FC2–2D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Naftan – last 6

LLWDDL
22 Augvs Neman0–2L
15 Aug@ FC Gomel0–6L
7 Augvs Arsenal3–0W
31 Jul@ FC Dnepr Mogilev3–3D
19 Jul@ Orsha2–2D
3 Julvs Dinamo Brest2–4L
1.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Mar 2026Naftan v FC Vitebsk1–1
FC Vitebsk vs Naftan head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ML Vitebsk281882+4262
2FC Isloch Minsk R.281873+3161
3Dinamo Minsk281945+2861
4Dinamo Brest281567+2151
5Neman281549+949
6FC Gomel281279+1143
7FC Vitebsk2811710+340
8Torpedo Zhodino2810612-136
9FC Minsk2810513-735
10Slavia Mozyr289712-234
11Baranovichi288713-1531
12Arsenal286913-2127
13Belshina286616-2324
14Bate Borisov285914-1424
15FC Dnepr Mogilev2841113-1623
16Naftan284519-4617

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Vitebsk vs Naftan?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.

Who will win FC Vitebsk vs Naftan?

On our numbers FC Vitebsk have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Naftan 11%.

How many goals will there be in FC Vitebsk vs Naftan?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Vitebsk vs Naftan?

Our predicted score is FC Vitebsk 1–0 Naftan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is FC Vitebsk vs Naftan?

FC Vitebsk vs Naftan (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Centralnyj Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.