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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bate Borisov v Naftan: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Belarus · Borisov Arena
2–2
FT

Naftan

LLLLL
Bate Borisov 63%Draw 21%Naftan 17% Expected goals 1.80 – 0.79
63%
Betarazi pick

Bate Borisov to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultBate Borisov to win ✗63% · @1.40
Double chanceBate Borisov or draw ✓83% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42

Bate Borisov vs Naftan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 13 September the Premier League brings Bate Borisov against Naftan at Borisov Arena. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Bate Borisov are 14th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 28 matches; Naftan are 16th (in the drop zone) with 17.

Current form

Bate Borisov, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dinamo Brest, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Naftan, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to FC Minsk, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Bate Borisov, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Naftan.

Head to head

When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Naftan 0–0 Bate Borisov.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bate Borisov 1.8 xG, Naftan 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bate Borisov 63%, draw 21%, Naftan 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Bate Borisov to win (63%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bate Borisov 1–0 Naftan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bate Borisov63%fair 1.60 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.00
Naftan17%fair 5.95 · @7.00
2.59Expected goals
1.80Bate Borisov xG
0.79Naftan xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Bate Borisov 1.8 – 0.8 Naftan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBate Borisov to win ✗63%1.601.40
Double chanceBate Borisov or draw ✓83%1.201.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.841.91
Draw no betBate Borisov (draw no bet)79%1.27–
Asian handicapBate Borisov -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.92–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreBate Borisov to score first ✓64%1.55–
Half-time resultBate Borisov ahead at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bate Borisov / FT Bate Borisov ✗39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.42–

Recent results

Bate Borisov – last 6

LLWDWD
7 Sep@ Dinamo Brest0–1L
3 Sep@ FC Isloch Minsk R.0–2L
30 Augvs FC Minsk2–1W
23 Aug@ ML Vitebsk0–0D
15 Augvs FC Vitebsk1–0W
9 Aug@ Baranovichi2–2D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Naftan – last 6

LLLLLW
6 Sepvs FC Minsk0–3L
2 Sep@ Dinamo Minsk1–5L
28 Aug@ FC Vitebsk0–2L
22 Augvs Neman0–2L
15 Aug@ FC Gomel0–6L
7 Augvs Arsenal3–0W
0.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026Naftan v Bate Borisov0–0
Bate Borisov vs Naftan head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ML Vitebsk281882+4262
2FC Isloch Minsk R.281873+3161
3Dinamo Minsk281945+2861
4Dinamo Brest281567+2151
5Neman281549+949
6FC Gomel281279+1143
7FC Vitebsk2811710+340
8Torpedo Zhodino2810612-136
9FC Minsk2810513-735
10Slavia Mozyr289712-234
11Baranovichi288713-1531
12Arsenal286913-2127
13Belshina286616-2324
14Bate Borisov285914-1424
15FC Dnepr Mogilev2841113-1623
16Naftan284519-4617

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bate Borisov vs Naftan?

Our pick is Bate Borisov to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Bate Borisov vs Naftan?

On our numbers Bate Borisov have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Naftan 17%.

How many goals will there be in Bate Borisov vs Naftan?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bate Borisov vs Naftan?

Our predicted score is Bate Borisov 1–0 Naftan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Bate Borisov vs Naftan?

Bate Borisov vs Naftan (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Borisov Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.