Wednesday 11 November 2026 14 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

ML Vitebsk v Arsenal: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Belarus · Tikhinichi Sportcomplex
5–1
FT

Arsenal

DDLLL
ML Vitebsk 73%Draw 17%Arsenal 10% Expected goals 2.08 – 0.59
52%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultML Vitebsk to win ✓73% · @1.17
Double chanceML Vitebsk or draw ✓90% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.65

ML Vitebsk vs Arsenal: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 18 September the Premier League brings ML Vitebsk against Arsenal at Tikhinichi Sportcomplex. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, ML Vitebsk are 1st, leading the league, on 62 points after 28 matches; Arsenal are 12th (lower half) with 27. There are 35 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

ML Vitebsk, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Dnepr Mogilev, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Arsenal, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Baranovichi, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours ML Vitebsk, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Arsenal.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Arsenal 0–3 ML Vitebsk.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give ML Vitebsk 2.1 xG, Arsenal 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – ML Vitebsk 73%, draw 17%, Arsenal 10%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: ML Vitebsk 2–0 Arsenal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

ML Vitebsk73%fair 1.37 · @1.17
Draw17%fair 5.79 · @6.00
Arsenal10%fair 10.25 · @13.00
2.67Expected goals
2.08ML Vitebsk xG
0.59Arsenal xG
48%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–015%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: ML Vitebsk 2.1 – 0.6 Arsenal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultML Vitebsk to win ✓73%1.371.17
Double chanceML Vitebsk or draw ✓90%1.111.03
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.941.70
Draw no betML Vitebsk (draw no bet) ✓88%1.13–
Asian handicapML Vitebsk -1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%2.00–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
First team to scoreML Vitebsk to score first73%1.38–
Half-time resultML Vitebsk ahead at half-time ✗51%1.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT ML Vitebsk / FT ML Vitebsk ✗48%2.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15%6.65–

Recent results

ML Vitebsk – last 6

DDDWDW
13 Sep@ FC Dnepr Mogilev1–1D
6 Sepvs Dinamo Minsk0–0D
2 Sepvs Belshina1–1D
29 Aug@ Dinamo Brest3–1W
23 Augvs Bate Borisov0–0D
19 Augvs Baranovichi2–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Arsenal – last 6

DDLLLL
12 Sepvs Baranovichi0–0D
7 Sep@ FC Isloch Minsk R.1–1D
30 Augvs Torpedo Zhodino2–4L
22 Aug@ Belshina0–2L
14 Augvs Slavia Mozyr1–3L
7 Aug@ Naftan0–3L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Arsenal v ML Vitebsk0–3
ML Vitebsk vs Arsenal head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ML Vitebsk281882+4262
2FC Isloch Minsk R.281873+3161
3Dinamo Minsk281945+2861
4Dinamo Brest281567+2151
5Neman281549+949
6FC Gomel281279+1143
7FC Vitebsk2811710+340
8Torpedo Zhodino2810612-136
9FC Minsk2810513-735
10Slavia Mozyr289712-234
11Baranovichi288713-1531
12Arsenal286913-2127
13Belshina286616-2324
14Bate Borisov285914-1424
15FC Dnepr Mogilev2841113-1623
16Naftan284519-4617

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ML Vitebsk vs Arsenal?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win ML Vitebsk vs Arsenal?

On our numbers ML Vitebsk have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Arsenal 10%.

How many goals will there be in ML Vitebsk vs Arsenal?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ML Vitebsk vs Arsenal?

Our predicted score is ML Vitebsk 2–0 Arsenal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is ML Vitebsk vs Arsenal?

ML Vitebsk vs Arsenal (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tikhinichi Sportcomplex.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.