Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.24Odds
1
Value bet: FC Dnepr Mogilev to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFC Dnepr Mogilev to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceFC Dnepr Mogilev or draw ✓82% · @1.24
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.68
FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Bate Borisov: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Dnepr Mogilev welcome Bate Borisov to Spartak Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 18 October (13:00 WAT). In the table, FC Dnepr Mogilev are 15th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 28 matches; Bate Borisov are 14th (in the drop zone) with 24. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FC Dnepr Mogilev, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Dinamo Minsk, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Bate Borisov, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Neman, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Bate Borisov 1–1 FC Dnepr Mogilev.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Dnepr Mogilev 1.6 xG, Bate Borisov 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Dnepr Mogilev 59%, draw 23%, Bate Borisov 18%.
Lower-risk option: FC Dnepr Mogilev or draw (82%) at 1.24.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.84.
Price worth noting: FC Dnepr Mogilev to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Dnepr Mogilev or draw (82%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Dnepr Mogilev 1–0 Bate Borisov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Dnepr Mogilev59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.34
Bate Borisov18%fair 5.51 · @3.80
2.39Expected goals
1.63FC Dnepr Mogilev xG
0.76Bate Borisov xG
48%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: FC Dnepr Mogilev 1.6 – 0.8 Bate Borisov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Bate Borisov?
Our pick is FC Dnepr Mogilev or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Bate Borisov?
On our numbers FC Dnepr Mogilev have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bate Borisov 18%.
How many goals will there be in FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Bate Borisov?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Bate Borisov?
Our predicted score is FC Dnepr Mogilev 1–0 Bate Borisov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Bate Borisov?
FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Bate Borisov (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Spartak Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
