Value bet: ML Vitebsk to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultML Vitebsk to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceML Vitebsk or draw ✓84% · @1.19
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.06
ML Vitebsk vs Neman: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Premier League brings ML Vitebsk against Neman at Vitebsk CSK. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, ML Vitebsk are 1st, leading the league, on 62 points after 28 matches; Neman are 5th (upper half) with 49. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
ML Vitebsk, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Torpedo Zhodino, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Neman, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bate Borisov, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Neman, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for ML Vitebsk.
Head to head
When they last met (30 May 2026) it ended Neman 1–2 ML Vitebsk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ML Vitebsk 1.8 xG, Neman 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ML Vitebsk 63%, draw 20%, Neman 16%.
Lower-risk option: ML Vitebsk or draw (84%) at 1.19.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.84.
Price worth noting: ML Vitebsk to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: ML Vitebsk 1–0 Neman. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ML Vitebsk63%fair 1.58 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.48
Neman16%fair 6.12 · @4.30
2.54Expected goals
1.79ML Vitebsk xG
0.75Neman xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: ML Vitebsk 1.8 – 0.7 Neman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win ML Vitebsk vs Neman?
On our numbers ML Vitebsk have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Neman 16%.
How many goals will there be in ML Vitebsk vs Neman?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ML Vitebsk vs Neman?
Our predicted score is ML Vitebsk 1–0 Neman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is ML Vitebsk vs Neman?
ML Vitebsk vs Neman (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Vitebsk CSK.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
