Arsenal vs Bate Borisov: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bate Borisov travel to face Arsenal on Friday 30 October in the Premier League, with Dzerzhinsk City Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Arsenal are 12th, lower half, on 27 points after 28 matches; Bate Borisov are 14th (in the drop zone) with 24. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Arsenal, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FC Dnepr Mogilev, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Bate Borisov, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Belshina, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Bate Borisov 2–3 Arsenal.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal 1.1 xG, Bate Borisov 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal 33%, draw 23%, Bate Borisov 43%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.82.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal 1–1 Bate Borisov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arsenal33%fair 3.01 · @3.12
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.12
Bate Borisov43%fair 2.30 · @2.30
2.39Expected goals
1.09Arsenal xG
1.30Bate Borisov xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Arsenal 1.1 – 1.3 Bate Borisov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arsenal vs Bate Borisov?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Arsenal vs Bate Borisov?
On our numbers Arsenal have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bate Borisov 43%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal vs Bate Borisov?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Bate Borisov?
Our predicted score is Arsenal 1–1 Bate Borisov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Arsenal vs Bate Borisov?
Arsenal vs Bate Borisov (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Dzerzhinsk City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
