Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.38 – our chance 52% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultML Vitebsk to win ✓76% · @1.09
Double chanceML Vitebsk or draw ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.38
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.07
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.88
Naftan vs ML Vitebsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Naftan v ML Vitebsk in the Premier League, played at Atlant Stadium. In the table, Naftan are 16th, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 28 matches; ML Vitebsk are 1st (leading the league) with 62. There are 45 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Naftan, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Baranovichi, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
ML Vitebsk, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over FC Minsk, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours ML Vitebsk, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Naftan.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Jun 2026) it ended ML Vitebsk 2–1 Naftan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naftan 0.8 xG, ML Vitebsk 2.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naftan 11%, draw 14%, ML Vitebsk 76%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.38.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naftan 0–3 ML Vitebsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naftan11%fair 9.34 · @22.00
Draw14%fair 7.41 · @8.90
ML Vitebsk76%fair 1.32 · @1.09
3.25Expected goals
0.77Naftan xG
2.47ML Vitebsk xG
52%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–310%
0–110%
1–29%
1–38%
1–17%
From our goals model: Naftan 0.8 – 2.5 ML Vitebsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Naftan vs ML Vitebsk?
On our numbers Naftan have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 14% and ML Vitebsk 76%.
How many goals will there be in Naftan vs ML Vitebsk?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naftan vs ML Vitebsk?
Our predicted score is Naftan 0–3 ML Vitebsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Naftan vs ML Vitebsk?
Naftan vs ML Vitebsk (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Atlant Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
