América SE 33%Draw 23%Sergipe 44%Expected goals 0.94 – 1.16
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultSergipe to win ✗44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.03
América SE vs Sergipe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sergipe travel to face América SE on Friday 27 February in the Sergipano – the ball rolls at 00:15 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give América SE 0.9 xG, Sergipe 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – América SE 33%, draw 23%, Sergipe 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: América SE 0–1 Sergipe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
América SE33%fair 3.06 · @2.88
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Sergipe44%fair 2.28 · @2.30
2.10Expected goals
0.94América SE xG
1.16Sergipe xG
45%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: América SE 0.9 – 1.2 Sergipe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sergipe to win✗
44%
2.28
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
Sergipe (draw no bet)
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
América SE +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Sergipe to score first✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sergipe / FT Sergipe✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.03
–
Recent results
América SE – last 1
W
22 Feb
@ Lagarto
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sergipe
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between América SE and Sergipe.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win América SE vs Sergipe?
On our numbers América SE have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sergipe 44%.
How many goals will there be in América SE vs Sergipe?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for América SE vs Sergipe?
Our predicted score is América SE 0–1 Sergipe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is América SE vs Sergipe?
América SE vs Sergipe (Sergipano) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sergipano · Brazil
