Value bet: Boeung Ket to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBoeung Ket to win ✓39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.48
Boeung Ket vs Phnom Penh Crown: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Boeung Ket welcome Phnom Penh Crown to National Olympic Stadium for a C League fixture on Sunday 3 May (12:00 WAT). In the table, Boeung Ket are 7th, lower half, on 7 points after 6 matches; Phnom Penh Crown are 9th (in the drop zone) with 6. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Boeung Ket, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Svay Rieng, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Phnom Penh Crown, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Angkor Tiger, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Boeung Ket, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Phnom Penh Crown.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Phnom Penh Crown 1–2 Boeung Ket.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Boeung Ket 1.4 xG, Phnom Penh Crown 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Boeung Ket 39%, draw 24%, Phnom Penh Crown 37%.
Price worth noting: Boeung Ket to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boeung Ket 2–1 Phnom Penh Crown. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Boeung Ket39%fair 2.57 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.50
Phnom Penh Crown37%fair 2.71 · @2.15
2.74Expected goals
1.44Boeung Ket xG
1.30Phnom Penh Crown xG
51%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Boeung Ket 1.4 – 1.3 Phnom Penh Crown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Boeung Ket vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Boeung Ket vs Phnom Penh Crown?
On our numbers Boeung Ket have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Phnom Penh Crown 37%.
How many goals will there be in Boeung Ket vs Phnom Penh Crown?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boeung Ket vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Our predicted score is Boeung Ket 2–1 Phnom Penh Crown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Boeung Ket vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Boeung Ket vs Phnom Penh Crown (C League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at National Olympic Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
