Arsenal W 63%Draw 21%Brighton W 15%Expected goals 1.75 – 0.90
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultArsenal W to win ✗63% · @1.20
Double chanceArsenal W or draw ✗85% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Arsenal W vs Brighton W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arsenal W welcome Brighton W to Emirates Stadium for a FA Women's Cup fixture on Sunday 5 April (13:00 WAT).
Current form
Arsenal W, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Chelsea W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Brighton W, last 4: WDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Leicester City WFC, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Arsenal W, collecting 2.4 points per game to 1.8 for Brighton W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal W 1.7 xG, Brighton W 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal W 63%, draw 21%, Brighton W 15%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal W 1–0 Brighton W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arsenal W63%fair 1.57 · @1.20
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @5.40
Brighton W15%fair 6.52 · @12.00
2.64Expected goals
1.75Arsenal W xG
0.90Brighton W xG
55%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Arsenal W 1.7 – 0.9 Brighton W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal W to win✗
63%
1.57
1.20
Double chance
Arsenal W or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Arsenal W (draw no bet)✗
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Brighton W +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.62 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.25
First team to score
Arsenal W to score first✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arsenal W / FT Arsenal W✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Arsenal W – last 5
LWWWW
1 Apr
@ Chelsea W
0–1
L
24 Mar
vs Chelsea W
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ London City Lionesses
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Bristol City W
3–0
W
18 Feb
vs OH Leuven W
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Brighton W – last 4
WDLW
29 Mar
@ Leicester City WFC
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Liverpool W
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ Chelsea W
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ West Ham W
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal W and Brighton W.
What is the prediction for Arsenal W vs Brighton W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Arsenal W vs Brighton W?
On our numbers Arsenal W have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Brighton W 15%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal W vs Brighton W?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal W vs Brighton W?
Our predicted score is Arsenal W 1–0 Brighton W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Arsenal W vs Brighton W?
Arsenal W vs Brighton W (FA Women's Cup) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Emirates Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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