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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Boston River v Liverpool Montevideo: numbers & prediction

Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Estadio Campeones Olimpicos
Boston River 25%Draw 28%Liverpool Montevideo 46% Expected goals 0.83 – 1.33
75%
Betarazi pick

Liverpool Montevideo or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultLiverpool Montevideo to win ✓46% · @2.26
Double chanceLiverpool Montevideo or draw ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.83

Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Boston River welcome Liverpool Montevideo to Estadio Campeones Olimpicos for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Tuesday 10 March (01:30 WAT). In the table, Boston River are 11th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Liverpool Montevideo are 1st (leading the league) with 30. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Boston River, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Racing Montevideo, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Liverpool Montevideo, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cerro Largo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Boston River 0.8 xG, Liverpool Montevideo 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Boston River 25%, draw 28%, Liverpool Montevideo 46%.
  • Lower-risk option: Liverpool Montevideo or draw (75%) at 1.33.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Liverpool Montevideo or draw (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boston River 0–1 Liverpool Montevideo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Boston River25%fair 3.93 · @3.15
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @3.00
Liverpool Montevideo46%fair 2.15 · @2.26
2.16Expected goals
0.83Boston River xG
1.33Liverpool Montevideo xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
0–210%
1–010%
1–28%

From our goals model: Boston River 0.8 – 1.3 Liverpool Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Boston RiverLiverpool Montevideo
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average-15%+15%
Goals conceded vs average+8%-31%
Our expected goals here0.761.34

Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLiverpool Montevideo to win ✓46%2.152.26
Double chanceLiverpool Montevideo or draw ✓75%1.341.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.961.95
Draw no betLiverpool Montevideo (draw no bet) ✓65%1.55–
Asian handicapBoston River +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗64%1.561.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.621.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.241.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreLiverpool Montevideo to score first ✓54%1.84–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo ✓28%3.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.83–

Recent results

Boston River – last 3

WDL
5 Marvs Racing Montevideo1–0W
28 Feb@ Cerro1–1D
15 Feb@ Danubio0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Liverpool Montevideo – last 5

WDDLL
1 Marvs Cerro Largo2–0W
25 Feb@ Independiente Medellin0–0D
20 Feb@ Cerro1–1D
18 Febvs Independiente Medellin1–2L
14 Febvs Defensor Sporting1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Boston River and Liverpool Montevideo.

Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo?

Our pick is Liverpool Montevideo or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo?

On our numbers Boston River have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Liverpool Montevideo 46%.

How many goals will there be in Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo?

Our predicted score is Boston River 0–1 Liverpool Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo?

Boston River vs Liverpool Montevideo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones Olimpicos.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.