Cerro Largo vs Atletico Torque: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 9 March the Primera División Apertura brings Cerro Largo against Atletico Torque at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT. In the table, Cerro Largo are 15th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 13 matches; Atletico Torque are 2nd (among the top four) with 28. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico Torque, last 4: WWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Defensor Sporting, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cerro Largo 1.0 xG, Atletico Torque 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cerro Largo 27%, draw 27%, Atletico Torque 46%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerro Largo 1–1 Atletico Torque. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cerro Largo27%fair 3.67 · @3.20
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.00
Atletico Torque46%fair 2.18 · @2.25
2.52Expected goals
1.03Cerro Largo xG
1.49Atletico Torque xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Cerro Largo 1.0 – 1.5 Atletico Torque expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cerro Largo
Atletico Torque
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
-22%
+43%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.02
1.61
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Torque to win✓
46%
2.18
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.80
Draw no bet
Atletico Torque (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Cerro Largo +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Atletico Torque to score first✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Torque / FT Atletico Torque✗
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Cerro Largo – last 2
LL
1 Mar
@ Liverpool Montevideo
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Defensor Sporting
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Atletico Torque – last 4
WWWD
3 Mar
vs Defensor Sporting
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Defensor Sporting
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Wanderers
4–0
W
17 Feb
vs Juventud
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cerro Largo and Atletico Torque.
What is the prediction for Cerro Largo vs Atletico Torque?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cerro Largo vs Atletico Torque?
On our numbers Cerro Largo have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Atletico Torque 46%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro Largo vs Atletico Torque?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro Largo vs Atletico Torque?
Our predicted score is Cerro Largo 1–1 Atletico Torque, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cerro Largo vs Atletico Torque?
Cerro Largo vs Atletico Torque (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
