El Nacional 22%Draw 28%Gualaceo SC 50%Expected goals 0.79 – 1.27
78%
Betarazi pick
Gualaceo SC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultGualaceo SC to win ✗50% · @1.91
Double chanceGualaceo SC or draw ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.35
El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gualaceo SC travel to face El Nacional on Friday 24 July in the Liga Pro Serie B – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, El Nacional are 12th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 22 matches; Gualaceo SC are 7th (lower half) with 29. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
El Nacional, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cuniburo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Gualaceo SC, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to 22 de Julio, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Gualaceo SC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.2 for El Nacional.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Nacional 0.8 xG, Gualaceo SC 1.3 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Nacional 22%, draw 28%, Gualaceo SC 50%.
Lower-risk option: Gualaceo SC or draw (78%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Gualaceo SC or draw (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Nacional 0–1 Gualaceo SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Nacional22%fair 4.60 · @3.80
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @3.00
Gualaceo SC50%fair 2.00 · @1.91
2.05Expected goals
0.79El Nacional xG
1.27Gualaceo SC xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–013%
1–113%
0–210%
1–010%
1–28%
From our goals model: El Nacional 0.8 – 1.3 Gualaceo SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gualaceo SC to win✗
50%
2.00
1.91
Double chance
Gualaceo SC or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
2.00
Draw no bet
Gualaceo SC (draw no bet)
70%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
El Nacional +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Gualaceo SC to score first✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gualaceo SC / FT Gualaceo SC✗
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.35
–
Recent results
El Nacional – last 6
LLLDLL
15 Jul
@ Cuniburo
1–2
L
8 Jul
vs Cumbayá
0–1
L
2 Jul
@ Atletico FC
0–3
L
11 Jun
vs Santo Domingo
0–0
D
7 Jun
@ Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
1–4
L
31 May
vs LDU Portoviejo
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gualaceo SC – last 6
LDWWLW
18 Jul
vs 22 de Julio
0–1
L
11 Jul
@ 9 de Octubre
0–0
D
1 Jul
@ Cuniburo
2–1
W
10 Jun
vs Cumbayá
1–0
W
6 Jun
@ LDU Portoviejo
0–1
L
3 Jun
vs Mushuc Runa SC
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Nacional and Gualaceo SC.
What is the prediction for El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC?
Our pick is Gualaceo SC or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC?
On our numbers El Nacional have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Gualaceo SC 50%.
How many goals will there be in El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC?
Our predicted score is El Nacional 0–1 Gualaceo SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC?
El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC (Liga Pro Serie B) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
