Novo Hamburgo 57%Draw 26%São Luiz 17%Expected goals 1.54 – 0.72
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultNovo Hamburgo to win ✗57% · @1.85
Double chanceNovo Hamburgo or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.20
Novo Hamburgo vs São Luiz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 7 March the Gaúcho 1 brings Novo Hamburgo against São Luiz at Estadio do Vale. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT.
Current form
Novo Hamburgo, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to São Luiz, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
São Luiz, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Novo Hamburgo, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Novo Hamburgo, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for São Luiz.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Mar 2026) it ended São Luiz 1–0 Novo Hamburgo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Novo Hamburgo 1.5 xG, São Luiz 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Novo Hamburgo 57%, draw 26%, São Luiz 17%.
Lower-risk option: Novo Hamburgo or draw (83%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Novo Hamburgo 2–0 São Luiz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Novo Hamburgo57%fair 1.77 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.10
São Luiz17%fair 5.86 · @4.10
2.25Expected goals
1.54Novo Hamburgo xG
0.72São Luiz xG
48%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Novo Hamburgo 1.5 – 0.7 São Luiz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Novo Hamburgo vs São Luiz?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Novo Hamburgo vs São Luiz?
On our numbers Novo Hamburgo have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and São Luiz 17%.
How many goals will there be in Novo Hamburgo vs São Luiz?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novo Hamburgo vs São Luiz?
Our predicted score is Novo Hamburgo 2–0 São Luiz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Novo Hamburgo vs São Luiz?
Novo Hamburgo vs São Luiz (Gaúcho 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio do Vale.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gaúcho 1 · Brazil · Estadio do Vale
