Atlético Choloma 58%Draw 23%Juticalpa 18%Expected goals 2.03 – 0.99
82%
Betarazi pick
Atlético Choloma or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtlético Choloma to win ✗58% · @1.73
Double chanceAtlético Choloma or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Atlético Choloma vs Juticalpa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:30 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Atlético Choloma v Juticalpa in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Ruben Deras. In the table, Atlético Choloma are 9th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; Juticalpa are 12th (in the drop zone) with 6.
Current form
Atlético Choloma, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with CD Marathon, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Juticalpa, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Lobos Upnfm, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.6 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Choloma 2.0 xG, Juticalpa 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Choloma 58%, draw 23%, Juticalpa 18%.
Lower-risk option: Atlético Choloma or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atlético Choloma or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Choloma 2–0 Juticalpa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Choloma58%fair 1.71 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.50
Juticalpa18%fair 5.42 · @4.00
3.02Expected goals
2.03Atlético Choloma xG
0.99Juticalpa xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Atlético Choloma 2.0 – 1.0 Juticalpa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlético Choloma to win✗
58%
1.71
1.73
Double chance
Atlético Choloma or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Draw no bet
Atlético Choloma (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Atlético Choloma -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Atlético Choloma to score first
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Atlético Choloma ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlético Choloma / FT Atlético Choloma✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Atlético Choloma – last 5
DLLWL
11 Mar
vs CD Marathon
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs CD Motagua
1–3
L
26 Feb
@ CD Olimpia
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Victoria
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Real Espana
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Juticalpa – last 5
LWLLL
9 Mar
@ Lobos Upnfm
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs Victoria
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs CD Motagua
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Platense FC
0–4
L
15 Feb
@ Olancho
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Choloma and Juticalpa.
What is the prediction for Atlético Choloma vs Juticalpa?
Our pick is Atlético Choloma or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Atlético Choloma vs Juticalpa?
On our numbers Atlético Choloma have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Juticalpa 18%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Choloma vs Juticalpa?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Choloma vs Juticalpa?
Our predicted score is Atlético Choloma 2–0 Juticalpa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Atlético Choloma vs Juticalpa?
Atlético Choloma vs Juticalpa (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ruben Deras.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.