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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atlético Choloma v Juticalpa: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Ruben Deras
1–1
FT
Atlético Choloma 58%Draw 23%Juticalpa 18% Expected goals 2.03 – 0.99
82%
Betarazi pick

Atlético Choloma or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultAtlético Choloma to win ✗58% · @1.73
Double chanceAtlético Choloma or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Atlético Choloma vs Juticalpa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:30 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Atlético Choloma v Juticalpa in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Ruben Deras. In the table, Atlético Choloma are 9th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; Juticalpa are 12th (in the drop zone) with 6.

Current form

Atlético Choloma, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with CD Marathon, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Juticalpa, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Lobos Upnfm, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.6 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Choloma 2.0 xG, Juticalpa 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Choloma 58%, draw 23%, Juticalpa 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Atlético Choloma or draw (82%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Atlético Choloma or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Choloma 2–0 Juticalpa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlético Choloma58%fair 1.71 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.50
Juticalpa18%fair 5.42 · @4.00
3.02Expected goals
2.03Atlético Choloma xG
0.99Juticalpa xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Atlético Choloma 2.0 – 1.0 Juticalpa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtlético Choloma to win ✗58%1.711.73
Double chanceAtlético Choloma or draw ✓82%1.231.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.62
Draw no betAtlético Choloma (draw no bet)76%1.32–
Asian handicapAtlético Choloma -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.72–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
First team to scoreAtlético Choloma to score first64%1.56–
Half-time resultAtlético Choloma ahead at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atlético Choloma / FT Atlético Choloma ✗39%2.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

Atlético Choloma – last 5

DLLWL
11 Marvs CD Marathon0–0D
8 Marvs CD Motagua1–3L
26 Feb@ CD Olimpia0–3L
22 Febvs Victoria2–1W
15 Feb@ Real Espana1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Juticalpa – last 5

LWLLL
9 Mar@ Lobos Upnfm2–3L
1 Marvs Victoria1–0W
26 Febvs CD Motagua1–2L
22 Feb@ Platense FC0–4L
15 Feb@ Olancho1–4L
1.0Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Atlético Choloma and Juticalpa.

Atlético Choloma vs Juticalpa head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlético Choloma vs Juticalpa?

Our pick is Atlético Choloma or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Atlético Choloma vs Juticalpa?

On our numbers Atlético Choloma have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Juticalpa 18%.

How many goals will there be in Atlético Choloma vs Juticalpa?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlético Choloma vs Juticalpa?

Our predicted score is Atlético Choloma 2–0 Juticalpa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Atlético Choloma vs Juticalpa?

Atlético Choloma vs Juticalpa (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ruben Deras.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.