Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lobos Upnfm welcome Atlético Choloma to Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse for a Liga Nacional fixture on Saturday 21 March (01:00 WAT). In the table, Lobos Upnfm are 6th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Atlético Choloma are 9th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Lobos Upnfm, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to CD Motagua, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Atlético Choloma, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Juticalpa, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Lobos Upnfm, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Atlético Choloma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lobos Upnfm 1.6 xG, Atlético Choloma 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lobos Upnfm 53%, draw 23%, Atlético Choloma 24%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lobos Upnfm 1–1 Atlético Choloma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lobos Upnfm53%fair 1.90 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.70
Atlético Choloma24%fair 4.14 · @3.40
2.66Expected goals
1.65Lobos Upnfm xG
1.01Atlético Choloma xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lobos Upnfm 1.6 – 1.0 Atlético Choloma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lobos Upnfm to win✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.55
Draw no bet
Lobos Upnfm (draw no bet)✗
69%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Atlético Choloma +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Lobos Upnfm to score first
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lobos Upnfm / FT Lobos Upnfm✗
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Lobos Upnfm – last 5
LWWWL
12 Mar
@ CD Motagua
0–2
L
9 Mar
vs Juticalpa
3–2
W
2 Mar
@ Génesis
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs Platense FC
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Real Espana
3–4
L
1.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Atlético Choloma – last 6
DDLLWL
15 Mar
vs Juticalpa
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs CD Marathon
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs CD Motagua
1–3
L
26 Feb
@ CD Olimpia
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Victoria
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Real Espana
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lobos Upnfm and Atlético Choloma.
What is the prediction for Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma?
On our numbers Lobos Upnfm have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atlético Choloma 24%.
How many goals will there be in Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma?
Our predicted score is Lobos Upnfm 1–1 Atlético Choloma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma?
Lobos Upnfm vs Atlético Choloma (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
