Double chanceAtlético Choloma or draw ✗75% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.93
Atlético Choloma vs Génesis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Génesis travel to face Atlético Choloma on Wednesday 25 March in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Ruben Deras the venue – the ball rolls at 02:30 WAT. In the table, Atlético Choloma are 9th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; Génesis are 8th (lower half) with 15. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Atlético Choloma, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lobos Upnfm, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Génesis, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Real Espana, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Choloma 1.5 xG, Génesis 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Choloma 49%, draw 26%, Génesis 25%.
Lower-risk option: Atlético Choloma or draw (75%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Choloma 1–1 Génesis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Choloma49%fair 2.04 · @1.80
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.45
Génesis25%fair 3.97 · @3.90
2.76Expected goals
1.54Atlético Choloma xG
1.22Génesis xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Atlético Choloma 1.5 – 1.2 Génesis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlético Choloma to win✗
49%
2.04
1.80
Double chance
Atlético Choloma or draw✗
75%
1.34
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.65
Draw no bet
Atlético Choloma (draw no bet)✗
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Génesis +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Atlético Choloma to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlético Choloma / FT Atlético Choloma✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.93
–
Recent results
Atlético Choloma – last 6
WDDLLW
21 Mar
@ Lobos Upnfm
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Juticalpa
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs CD Marathon
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs CD Motagua
1–3
L
26 Feb
@ CD Olimpia
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Victoria
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Génesis – last 5
LDLWD
19 Mar
@ Real Espana
1–2
L
11 Mar
vs Olancho
0–0
D
2 Mar
vs Lobos Upnfm
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ CD Marathon
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Platense FC
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Choloma and Génesis.
What is the prediction for Atlético Choloma vs Génesis?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atlético Choloma vs Génesis?
On our numbers Atlético Choloma have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Génesis 25%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Choloma vs Génesis?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Choloma vs Génesis?
Our predicted score is Atlético Choloma 1–1 Génesis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atlético Choloma vs Génesis?
Atlético Choloma vs Génesis (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Wednesday 25 March 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ruben Deras.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
