Torpedo Moskva 55%Draw 24%FK Neftekhimik 21%Expected goals 1.65 – 0.68
79%
Betarazi pick
Torpedo Moskva or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.23Odds
1
Value bet: Torpedo Moskva to win @ 1.99 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTorpedo Moskva to win ✓55% · @1.99
Double chanceTorpedo Moskva or draw ✓79% · @1.23
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.23
Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Monday 16 March: Torpedo Moskva v FK Neftekhimik in the First League, played at Arena Khimki. In the table, Torpedo Moskva are 3rd, among the top four, on 32 points after 17 matches; FK Neftekhimik are 17th (in the drop zone) with 13. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Torpedo Moskva 1.7 xG, FK Neftekhimik 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Torpedo Moskva 55%, draw 24%, FK Neftekhimik 21%.
Lower-risk option: Torpedo Moskva or draw (79%) at 1.23.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Torpedo Moskva to win @1.99 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Torpedo Moskva or draw (79%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torpedo Moskva 1–0 FK Neftekhimik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Torpedo Moskva55%fair 1.82 · @1.99
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.20
FK Neftekhimik21%fair 4.76 · @3.78
2.33Expected goals
1.65Torpedo Moskva xG
0.68FK Neftekhimik xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Torpedo Moskva 1.7 – 0.7 FK Neftekhimik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Torpedo Moskva
FK Neftekhimik
Attack vs First League average
+19%
-38%
Goals conceded vs average
-32%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.90
0.49
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torpedo Moskva to win✓
55%
1.82
1.99 ▲
Double chance
Torpedo Moskva or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.23
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.73
Draw no bet
Torpedo Moskva (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Torpedo Moskva -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.41
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.16
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.02
First team to score
Torpedo Moskva to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva✓
38%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.23
–
Recent results
Torpedo Moskva – last 2
LW
8 Mar
vs Rodina Moskva
0–2
L
1 Mar
@ Chernomorets
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
FK Neftekhimik – last 2
DD
17 Feb
vs Tekstilshchik
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Dinamo St. Petersburg
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torpedo Moskva and FK Neftekhimik.
What is the prediction for Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our pick is Torpedo Moskva or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik?
On our numbers Torpedo Moskva have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FK Neftekhimik 21%.
How many goals will there be in Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our predicted score is Torpedo Moskva 1–0 FK Neftekhimik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik?
Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik (First League) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
