Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.38Odds
1
Value bet: Amkar to win @ 2.73 – our chance 39% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAmkar to win ✓39% · @2.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.24
Amkar vs Tyumen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Amkar v Tyumen in the Second League A Fall Season Silver, played at Zvezda Stadium. In the table, Amkar are 2nd on 22 points after 12 matches; Tyumen are 3rd with 22. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Amkar, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Zenit 2, away. The attack is flying at 2.4 goals per game.
Tyumen, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dinamo Kirov, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Amkar 1.8 xG, Tyumen 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Amkar 39%, draw 25%, Tyumen 36%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Amkar to win @2.73 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Amkar 1–1 Tyumen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Amkar39%fair 2.53 · @2.73
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.00
Tyumen36%fair 2.81 · @2.42
3.26Expected goals
1.75Amkar xG
1.51Tyumen xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Amkar 1.8 – 1.5 Tyumen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amkar to win✓
39%
2.53
2.73 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.53
Draw no bet
Amkar (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Tyumen +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Amkar to score first✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amkar / FT Amkar✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.24
–
Recent results
Amkar – last 5
LWWLD
1 Apr
@ Zenit 2
2–5
L
28 Mar
@ Dinamo Kirov
4–1
W
14 Mar
@ Dinamo Stavropol
2–0
W
7 Mar
@ Dinamo Moskva II
3–4
L
28 Feb
@ Dinamo Vladivostok
1–1
D
2.4Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Tyumen – last 6
DWWLDL
1 Apr
vs Dinamo Kirov
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ Dinamo Bryansk
3–0
W
21 Mar
vs Dinamo Stavropol
3–1
W
14 Mar
@ Dinamo Moskva II
1–2
L
7 Mar
vs Dinamo Vladivostok
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amkar and Tyumen.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Amkar vs Tyumen?
On our numbers Amkar have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tyumen 36%.
How many goals will there be in Amkar vs Tyumen?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amkar vs Tyumen?
Our predicted score is Amkar 1–1 Tyumen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Amkar vs Tyumen?
Amkar vs Tyumen (Second League A Fall Season Silver) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Zvezda Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dinamo Bryansk0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz2
Dinamo Vladivostok2