Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultCaxias to win ✓53% · @1.85
Double chanceCaxias or draw ✓81% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.62
Caxias vs Ituano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:30 WAT, Saturday 30 May: Caxias v Ituano in the Serie C, played at Estadio Francisco Stedile. In the table, Caxias are 14th, lower half, on 25 points after 19 matches; Ituano are 15th (lower half) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Caxias, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Maranhão, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Ituano, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Botafogo PB, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caxias 1.3 xG, Ituano 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caxias 53%, draw 29%, Ituano 19%.
Lower-risk option: Caxias or draw (81%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caxias 1–0 Ituano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caxias53%fair 1.89 · @1.85
Draw29%fair 3.49 · @2.95
Ituano19%fair 5.40 · @4.40
1.99Expected goals
1.30Caxias xG
0.69Ituano xG
49%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–014%
1–112%
2–012%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Caxias 1.3 – 0.7 Ituano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caxias to win✓
53%
1.89
1.85
Double chance
Caxias or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.53
Draw no bet
Caxias (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Ituano +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Caxias to score first
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caxias / FT Caxias✗
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.62
–
Recent results
Caxias – last 6
DWDWWL
23 May
@ Maranhão
0–0
D
17 May
vs Paysandu
2–0
W
7 May
@ São Bernardo
1–1
D
1 May
vs Volta Redonda
2–0
W
28 Apr
vs Ypiranga-RS
2–1
W
16 Apr
@ Avai
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ituano – last 6
WWWLDL
26 May
vs Botafogo PB
1–0
W
17 May
@ Guarani Campinas
3–1
W
10 May
vs Confiança
1–0
W
5 May
@ Ypiranga-RS
0–2
L
30 Apr
@ Ferroviária
1–1
D
23 Apr
vs Ferroviária
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caxias and Ituano.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Caxias vs Ituano?
On our numbers Caxias have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Ituano 19%.
How many goals will there be in Caxias vs Ituano?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caxias vs Ituano?
Our predicted score is Caxias 1–0 Ituano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Caxias vs Ituano?
Caxias vs Ituano (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Francisco Stedile.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
