Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFerroviária to win ✓50% · @1.95
Double chanceFerroviária or draw ✓77% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.25
Ferroviária vs Barra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 16 June the Serie C brings Ferroviária against Barra at Arena Fonte Luminosa. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Ferroviária are 1st on 11 points after 6 matches; Barra are 17th with 21.
Current form
Ferroviária, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Santa Cruz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Barra, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Anápolis, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ferroviária 1.4 xG, Barra 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ferroviária 50%, draw 26%, Barra 23%.
Lower-risk option: Ferroviária or draw (77%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ferroviária 1–1 Barra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ferroviária50%fair 1.98 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @2.95
Barra23%fair 4.31 · @4.00
2.33Expected goals
1.41Ferroviária xG
0.92Barra xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Ferroviária 1.4 – 0.9 Barra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ferroviária to win✓
50%
1.98
1.95
Double chance
Ferroviária or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Ferroviária (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Barra +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Ferroviária to score first✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ferroviária / FT Ferroviária✗
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.25
–
Recent results
Ferroviária – last 6
DWWLDD
31 May
@ Santa Cruz
1–1
D
24 May
@ Amazonas
2–1
W
17 May
vs Brusque
1–0
W
13 May
vs Juventus
1–2
L
7 May
@ Juventus
0–0
D
30 Apr
vs Ituano
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Barra – last 6
DLWLWL
17 May
@ Anápolis
1–1
D
14 May
@ Corinthians
0–1
L
5 May
@ Figueirense
3–0
W
22 Apr
vs Corinthians
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Maranhão
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ Botafogo PB
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferroviária and Barra.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Ferroviária vs Barra?
On our numbers Ferroviária have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Barra 23%.
How many goals will there be in Ferroviária vs Barra?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferroviária vs Barra?
Our predicted score is Ferroviária 1–1 Barra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Ferroviária vs Barra?
Ferroviária vs Barra (Serie C) kicks off on Tuesday 16 June 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Fonte Luminosa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
