Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.38 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.38Odds
2
Value bet: Figueirense to win @ 3.70 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFloresta to win ✗38% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.46
Floresta vs Figueirense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Figueirense travel to face Floresta on Sunday 14 June in the Serie C – the ball rolls at 23:30 WAT. In the table, Floresta are 3rd on 5 points after 6 matches; Figueirense are 11th with 28. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Floresta, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Confiança, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Figueirense, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Paysandu, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Floresta, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Figueirense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Floresta 1.0 xG, Figueirense 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Floresta 38%, draw 30%, Figueirense 32%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Figueirense to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Floresta 1–1 Figueirense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Floresta38%fair 2.62 · @2.10
Draw30%fair 3.32 · @2.80
Figueirense32%fair 3.16 · @3.70
2.06Expected goals
1.05Floresta xG
1.01Figueirense xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–114%
1–013%
0–113%
0–013%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Floresta 1.0 – 1.0 Figueirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Floresta to win✗
38%
2.62
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.53
Draw no bet
Floresta (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Figueirense +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Floresta to score first✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.46
–
Recent results
Floresta – last 6
WLWLWD
30 May
vs Confiança
1–0
W
26 May
@ Paysandu
1–2
L
16 May
vs Amazonas
3–2
W
5 May
vs Maranhão
1–2
L
25 Apr
@ Botafogo PB
2–1
W
21 Apr
vs Ferroviária
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Figueirense – last 6
WDLLLD
1 Jun
vs Paysandu
2–1
W
24 May
@ Confiança
0–0
D
16 May
vs AO Itabaiana
0–1
L
5 May
vs Barra
0–3
L
14 Apr
vs Maringá
1–3
L
7 Apr
@ Ypiranga-RS
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Floresta and Figueirense.
What is the prediction for Floresta vs Figueirense?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Floresta vs Figueirense?
On our numbers Floresta have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Figueirense 32%.
How many goals will there be in Floresta vs Figueirense?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Floresta vs Figueirense?
Our predicted score is Floresta 1–1 Figueirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Floresta vs Figueirense?
Floresta vs Figueirense (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
