Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 53% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGuarani Campinas to win ✓49% · @1.85
Double chanceGuarani Campinas or draw ✓76% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.12
Guarani Campinas vs Caxias: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guarani Campinas welcome Caxias for a Serie C fixture on Saturday 13 June (15:00 WAT). In the table, Guarani Campinas are 10th, upper half, on 28 points after 19 matches; Caxias are 14th (lower half) with 25. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Guarani Campinas, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Amazonas, at home. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Caxias, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ituano, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Caxias, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.6 for Guarani Campinas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guarani Campinas 1.4 xG, Caxias 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guarani Campinas 49%, draw 27%, Caxias 24%.
Lower-risk option: Guarani Campinas or draw (76%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guarani Campinas 1–1 Caxias. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guarani Campinas49%fair 2.02 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.00
Caxias24%fair 4.17 · @4.40
2.43Expected goals
1.43Guarani Campinas xG
1.00Caxias xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
2–19%
2–09%
0–19%
0–09%
From our goals model: Guarani Campinas 1.4 – 1.0 Caxias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guarani Campinas to win✓
49%
2.02
1.85
Double chance
Guarani Campinas or draw✓
76%
1.32
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Guarani Campinas (draw no bet)✓
67%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Caxias +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Guarani Campinas to score first✓
54%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guarani Campinas / FT Guarani Campinas✓
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.12
–
Recent results
Guarani Campinas – last 5
WLWDD
31 May
vs Amazonas
5–0
W
17 May
vs Ituano
1–3
L
12 May
@ Maringá
5–0
W
28 Apr
@ Ferroviária
2–2
D
16 Feb
@ Palmeiras
1–1
D
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Caxias – last 6
WDWDWW
30 May
vs Ituano
2–1
W
23 May
@ Maranhão
0–0
D
17 May
vs Paysandu
2–0
W
7 May
@ São Bernardo
1–1
D
1 May
vs Volta Redonda
2–0
W
28 Apr
vs Ypiranga-RS
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guarani Campinas and Caxias.
What is the prediction for Guarani Campinas vs Caxias?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Guarani Campinas vs Caxias?
On our numbers Guarani Campinas have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Caxias 24%.
How many goals will there be in Guarani Campinas vs Caxias?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guarani Campinas vs Caxias?
Our predicted score is Guarani Campinas 1–1 Caxias, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Guarani Campinas vs Caxias?
Guarani Campinas vs Caxias (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
