Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGuarani Campinas to win ✗45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.39
Confiança vs Guarani Campinas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:30 WAT, Monday 22 June: Confiança v Guarani Campinas in the Serie C. In the table, Confiança are 20th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 19 matches; Guarani Campinas are 10th (upper half) with 28. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Confiança, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Volta Redonda, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Guarani Campinas, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Caxias, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Momentum favours Guarani Campinas, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Confiança.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Confiança 1.0 xG, Guarani Campinas 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Confiança 28%, draw 27%, Guarani Campinas 45%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Confiança 1–1 Guarani Campinas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Confiança28%fair 3.55 · @3.30
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.00
Guarani Campinas45%fair 2.21 · @2.15
2.42Expected goals
1.05Confiança xG
1.37Guarani Campinas xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Confiança 1.0 – 1.4 Guarani Campinas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guarani Campinas to win✗
45%
2.21
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Guarani Campinas (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Confiança +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Guarani Campinas to score first✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guarani Campinas / FT Guarani Campinas✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.39
–
Recent results
Confiança – last 6
LLDWLL
14 Jun
@ Volta Redonda
0–1
L
30 May
@ Floresta
0–1
L
24 May
vs Figueirense
0–0
D
19 May
vs Maranhão
2–1
W
14 May
vs Gremio
0–3
L
10 May
@ Ituano
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Guarani Campinas – last 6
WWLWDD
13 Jun
vs Caxias
2–1
W
31 May
vs Amazonas
5–0
W
17 May
vs Ituano
1–3
L
12 May
@ Maringá
5–0
W
28 Apr
@ Ferroviária
2–2
D
16 Feb
@ Palmeiras
1–1
D
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Confiança and Guarani Campinas.
What is the prediction for Confiança vs Guarani Campinas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Confiança vs Guarani Campinas?
On our numbers Confiança have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Guarani Campinas 45%.
How many goals will there be in Confiança vs Guarani Campinas?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Confiança vs Guarani Campinas?
Our predicted score is Confiança 1–1 Guarani Campinas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Confiança vs Guarani Campinas?
Confiança vs Guarani Campinas (Serie C) kicks off on Monday 22 June 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
