AO Itabaiana 29%Draw 29%Ferroviária 42%Expected goals 0.93 – 1.24
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Ferroviária to win @ 2.60 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFerroviária to win ✗42% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.28
AO Itabaiana vs Ferroviária: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ferroviária travel to face AO Itabaiana on Saturday 27 June in the Serie C, with Estadio Etelvino Mendonca the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, AO Itabaiana are 19th on 17 points after 19 matches; Ferroviária are 1st with 11.
Current form
AO Itabaiana, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Anápolis, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Ferroviária, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Inter De Limeira, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ferroviária, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for AO Itabaiana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AO Itabaiana 0.9 xG, Ferroviária 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AO Itabaiana 29%, draw 29%, Ferroviária 42%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Ferroviária to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: AO Itabaiana 1–1 Ferroviária. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AO Itabaiana29%fair 3.39 · @2.70
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @2.90
Ferroviária42%fair 2.38 · @2.60
2.16Expected goals
0.93AO Itabaiana xG
1.24Ferroviária xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: AO Itabaiana 0.9 – 1.2 Ferroviária expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ferroviária to win✗
42%
2.38
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.95
Draw no bet
Ferroviária (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
AO Itabaiana +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Ferroviária to score first✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ferroviária / FT Ferroviária✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.28
–
Recent results
AO Itabaiana – last 6
LDLDWD
20 Jun
@ Anápolis
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Ituano
2–2
D
30 May
vs Volta Redonda
0–1
L
24 May
@ Inter De Limeira
0–0
D
16 May
@ Figueirense
1–0
W
30 Apr
@ Piauí
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ferroviária – last 6
WWDWWL
21 Jun
vs Inter De Limeira
2–0
W
16 Jun
vs Barra
1–0
W
31 May
@ Santa Cruz
1–1
D
24 May
@ Amazonas
2–1
W
17 May
vs Brusque
1–0
W
13 May
vs Juventus
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AO Itabaiana and Ferroviária.
What is the prediction for AO Itabaiana vs Ferroviária?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win AO Itabaiana vs Ferroviária?
On our numbers AO Itabaiana have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Ferroviária 42%.
How many goals will there be in AO Itabaiana vs Ferroviária?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AO Itabaiana vs Ferroviária?
Our predicted score is AO Itabaiana 1–1 Ferroviária, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is AO Itabaiana vs Ferroviária?
AO Itabaiana vs Ferroviária (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Etelvino Mendonca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
