Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultItuano to win ✗50% · @1.60
Double chanceItuano or draw ✓78% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.38
Ituano vs Maranhão: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 29 June the Serie C brings Ituano against Maranhão. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Ituano are 15th, lower half, on 22 points after 19 matches; Maranhão are 12th (lower half) with 27.
Current form
Ituano, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Figueirense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Maranhão, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Paysandu, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ituano, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Maranhão.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ituano 1.2 xG, Maranhão 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ituano 50%, draw 28%, Maranhão 22%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ituano 1–0 Maranhão. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ituano50%fair 2.00 · @1.60
Draw28%fair 3.55 · @3.40
Maranhão22%fair 4.57 · @5.50
2.13Expected goals
1.23Ituano xG
0.90Maranhão xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Ituano 1.2 – 0.9 Maranhão expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ituano to win✗
50%
2.00
1.60
Double chance
Ituano or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.05
Draw no bet
Ituano (draw no bet)
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Maranhão +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Ituano to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ituano / FT Ituano✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.38
–
Recent results
Ituano – last 6
DDLWWW
21 Jun
vs Figueirense
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ AO Itabaiana
2–2
D
30 May
@ Caxias
1–2
L
26 May
vs Botafogo PB
1–0
W
17 May
@ Guarani Campinas
3–1
W
10 May
vs Confiança
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Maranhão – last 6
LDDDLW
21 Jun
vs Paysandu
0–1
L
15 Jun
@ Maringá
0–0
D
31 May
@ Anápolis
0–0
D
23 May
vs Caxias
0–0
D
19 May
@ Confiança
1–2
L
5 May
@ Floresta
2–1
W
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ituano and Maranhão.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ituano vs Maranhão?
On our numbers Ituano have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Maranhão 22%.
How many goals will there be in Ituano vs Maranhão?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ituano vs Maranhão?
Our predicted score is Ituano 1–0 Maranhão, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Ituano vs Maranhão?
Ituano vs Maranhão (Serie C) kicks off on Monday 29 June 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
