Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAmazonas to win ✗51% · @1.83
Double chanceAmazonas or draw ✗79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.38
Amazonas vs AO Itabaiana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Amazonas welcome AO Itabaiana for a Serie C fixture on Tuesday 7 July (01:00 WAT). In the table, Amazonas are 13th, lower half, on 26 points after 19 matches; AO Itabaiana are 19th (in the drop zone) with 17.
Current form
Amazonas, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Volta Redonda, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
AO Itabaiana, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ferroviária, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours AO Itabaiana, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Amazonas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Amazonas 1.4 xG, AO Itabaiana 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 37%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Amazonas 51%, draw 28%, AO Itabaiana 21%.
Lower-risk option: Amazonas or draw (79%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Amazonas 1–1 AO Itabaiana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Amazonas51%fair 1.95 · @1.83
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @3.10
AO Itabaiana21%fair 4.83 · @4.40
2.25Expected goals
1.40Amazonas xG
0.85AO Itabaiana xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Amazonas 1.4 – 0.8 AO Itabaiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amazonas to win✗
51%
1.95
1.83
Double chance
Amazonas or draw✗
79%
1.26
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Amazonas (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
AO Itabaiana +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Amazonas to score first✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amazonas / FT Amazonas✗
30%
3.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.38
–
Recent results
Amazonas – last 6
LDWLLL
1 Jul
@ Volta Redonda
0–3
L
21 Jun
@ Barra
1–1
D
13 Jun
vs Anápolis
1–0
W
31 May
@ Guarani Campinas
0–5
L
24 May
vs Ferroviária
1–2
L
16 May
@ Floresta
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AO Itabaiana – last 6
WLDLDW
27 Jun
vs Ferroviária
1–0
W
20 Jun
@ Anápolis
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Ituano
2–2
D
30 May
vs Volta Redonda
0–1
L
24 May
@ Inter De Limeira
0–0
D
16 May
@ Figueirense
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amazonas and AO Itabaiana.
What is the prediction for Amazonas vs AO Itabaiana?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Amazonas vs AO Itabaiana?
On our numbers Amazonas have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 28% and AO Itabaiana 21%.
How many goals will there be in Amazonas vs AO Itabaiana?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amazonas vs AO Itabaiana?
Our predicted score is Amazonas 1–1 AO Itabaiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Amazonas vs AO Itabaiana?
Amazonas vs AO Itabaiana (Serie C) kicks off on Tuesday 7 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
