Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Barra to win @ 3.55 – our chance 32% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultConfiança to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.18
Confiança vs Barra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Saturday 4 July: Confiança v Barra in the Serie C. In the table, Confiança are 20th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 19 matches; Barra are 17th (lower half) with 21.
Current form
Confiança, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ypiranga-RS, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Barra, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Floresta, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Confiança 1.1 xG, Barra 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Confiança 41%, draw 27%, Barra 32%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Barra to win @3.55 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Confiança 1–1 Barra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Confiança41%fair 2.46 · @2.05
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.10
Barra32%fair 3.08 · @3.55
2.26Expected goals
1.14Confiança xG
1.12Barra xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Confiança 1.1 – 1.1 Barra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Confiança to win✗
41%
2.46
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Confiança (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Barra +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Confiança to score first
45%
2.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Confiança / FT Confiança✗
20%
4.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.18
–
Recent results
Confiança – last 6
DWLLDW
29 Jun
@ Ypiranga-RS
1–1
D
22 Jun
vs Guarani Campinas
2–0
W
14 Jun
@ Volta Redonda
0–1
L
30 May
@ Floresta
0–1
L
24 May
vs Figueirense
0–0
D
19 May
vs Maranhão
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Barra – last 6
LDLDLW
27 Jun
@ Floresta
1–2
L
21 Jun
vs Amazonas
1–1
D
16 Jun
@ Ferroviária
0–1
L
17 May
@ Anápolis
1–1
D
14 May
@ Corinthians
0–1
L
5 May
@ Figueirense
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Confiança and Barra.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Confiança vs Barra?
On our numbers Confiança have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Barra 32%.
How many goals will there be in Confiança vs Barra?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Confiança vs Barra?
Our predicted score is Confiança 1–1 Barra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Confiança vs Barra?
Confiança vs Barra (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
