Value bet: Brusque to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBrusque to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.51
AO Itabaiana vs Brusque: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:30 WAT, Monday 13 July: AO Itabaiana v Brusque in the Serie C, played at Estadio Etelvino Mendonca. In the table, AO Itabaiana are 19th on 17 points after 19 matches; Brusque are 3rd with 7.
Current form
AO Itabaiana, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Amazonas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Brusque, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Figueirense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AO Itabaiana 1.2 xG, Brusque 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AO Itabaiana 33%, draw 28%, Brusque 39%.
Price worth noting: Brusque to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Either team to win (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: AO Itabaiana 0–1 Brusque. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AO Itabaiana33%fair 3.00 · @2.65
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @2.80
Brusque39%fair 2.57 · @2.75
2.58Expected goals
1.19AO Itabaiana xG
1.39Brusque xG
48%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: AO Itabaiana 1.2 – 1.4 Brusque expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brusque to win✗
39%
2.57
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Brusque (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
AO Itabaiana +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Brusque to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brusque / FT Brusque✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.51
–
Recent results
AO Itabaiana – last 6
WWLDLD
7 Jul
@ Amazonas
2–0
W
27 Jun
vs Ferroviária
1–0
W
20 Jun
@ Anápolis
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Ituano
2–2
D
30 May
vs Volta Redonda
0–1
L
24 May
@ Inter De Limeira
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Brusque – last 6
WLWLWL
6 Jul
vs Figueirense
3–1
W
1 Jul
@ Botafogo PB
0–2
L
21 Jun
vs Floresta
2–1
W
14 Jun
vs Santa Cruz
0–1
L
24 May
vs Anápolis
1–0
W
17 May
@ Ferroviária
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AO Itabaiana and Brusque.
What is the prediction for AO Itabaiana vs Brusque?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win AO Itabaiana vs Brusque?
On our numbers AO Itabaiana have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Brusque 39%.
How many goals will there be in AO Itabaiana vs Brusque?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AO Itabaiana vs Brusque?
Our predicted score is AO Itabaiana 0–1 Brusque, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is AO Itabaiana vs Brusque?
AO Itabaiana vs Brusque (Serie C) kicks off on Monday 13 July 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Etelvino Mendonca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
